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A Bayesian Robust Detection of Shift in the Risk Structure of Stock Market Returns

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1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*19,431 cited
1965The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices8,707 cited
1965The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets7,600 cited
1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]6,743 cited
1966Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market4,896 cited
1963The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices4,851 cited
1997The variation of certain speculative prices4,468 cited
1977A critique of the asset pricing theory's tests Part I: On past and potential testability of the theory3,006 cited
1973A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices

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