International growth and volatility in historical perspective

Mark V. Siegler

11 citations0/0 files storedApplied Economics Letters

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Historical Economic and Social Studies Economic Growth and Productivity

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between the volatility and growth of real GDP using a newly constructed panel data set from twelve countries over the 1870 to 1929 period. In addition, many other variables are examined that are related to economic growth. The goal has been to uncover robust empirical regularities on this issue for the period prior to the Great Depression – a period which has been relatively neglected in previous empirical work. The main finding is that there is a robust negative partial correlation between volatility and growth, after controlling for other factors. This result is consistent with recent empirical evidence on the post-World War II period.

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References

1991The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1988 1999The New Growth Evidence 1985Macroeconomic determinants of growth: Cross-country evidence 2003Institutional causes, macroeconomic symptoms: volatility, crises and growth 2003The World Economy 2003The Case for Restricting Fiscal Policy Discretion 2003Financial Systems, Economic Growth, and Globalization 2000Inflation and Growth: Stories Short and Tall

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