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The base-rate fallacy: Contrasting processes and outcomes of group and individual judgment

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References

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1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
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1965Social Facilitation2,837 cited
1976Task complexity and contingent processing in decision making: An information search and protocol analysis1,965 cited
1980The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments1,184 cited
1982Group versus individual performance: Are N + 1 heads better than one?917 cited
1980Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic821 cited
1976Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation372 cited
1980Base rates can affect individual predictions.238 cited
1981When do base rates affect predictions?188 cited
1979Subjective sensitivity analysis181 cited
1984Diagnosticity and the base-rate effect98 cited
1986Individual versus group use of base-rate and individuating information

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