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Commodity Prices: Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline? · Study

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ArticleCommodity Prices: Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Carmen Reinhart1994

Article1994

Commodity Prices: Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Carmen Reinhart · Peter Wickham

216 citations·0/0 files stored·Staff Papers

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Market Dynamics and Volatility Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets

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References

1989The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis 2002Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis 1981A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’1991Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots 1988How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?1992On the Behaviour of Commodity Prices 1986Nominal exchange rate regimes and the behavior of real exchange rates: Evidence and implications 1985Trends and Cycles in Macroeconomic Time Series

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1994The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices 2004On the prevalence of trends in primary commodity prices 2011A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile 2001The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices: Small Trends and Big Variability 2010Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices

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2004On the prevalence of trends in primary commodity pricesarticle · 7 shared references 1997STRUCTURAL BREAKS AND LONG-RUN TRENDS IN COMMODITY PRICESarticle · 7 shared references 2002Prebisch-Singer Reduxpreprint · 7 shared references 1994Chapter 46 Unit roots, structural breaks and trendschapter · 6 shared references 2008The Commodity Terms of Trade, Unit Roots, and Nonlinear Alternatives: A Smooth Transition Approacharticle · 6 shared references 2001Long-run prices of primary commodities and oil pricesarticle · 6 shared references

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Year1994

Typearticle

Published1994-06-01

VenueStaff Papers

ISSN-L0020-8027

Languageen

Citations216

Files0 public / 0

ShelfMarket Dynamics and Volatility

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doi10.2307/3867506

openalex_workW2001995690

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1997

STRUCTURAL BREAKS AND LONG-RUN TRENDS IN COMMODITY PRICES

1994Export Instability and the External Balance in Developing Countries

1997Private Investment and Endogenous Growth