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This paper investigates the conjecture that oligopolistic pricing behavior will invalidate the Lucas-Sargent policy-ineffectiveness proposition even if expectations are formed rationally. The procedure is to examine the properties of an analytical macroeconomic model that incorporates a simplified version of the MPS wage-price sector. It is shown that the validity of the conjecture depends upon the precise manner in which lags are built into the price adjustment equation. A crucial condition is isolated and used to motivate an empirical test. The results, based on quarterly U.S. data, are predominantly consistent with the ineffectiveness proposition.
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