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Robustness of Maximum Likelihood Estimates for Multi-Step Predictions: The Exponential Smoothing Case
4 references·11 citing·43 second hop
Robustness of Maximum Likelihood Estimates for Multi-Step Predictions: The Exponential Smoothing Case (1993)Robustness of Maximum Likelihood Estimate…The Prediction of Time Series With Trends and Seasonalities (1983)The Prediction of Time Series…THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION OF LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS (1983)THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATIO…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimator…Prediction by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages and Related Methods (1961)Prediction by Exponentially W…A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers (2014)A Model-Based Analysis of Spi…Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models (2012)Posterior Predictive Analysis…Forecast horizon aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA) models (2011)Forecast horizon aggregation …Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis (2009)Structural Time Series Models…Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series: historical perspective and future developments (2008)Modelling trends and cycles i…Direct Multi-Step Estimation and Forecasting (2006)Direct Multi-Step Estimation …Multi‐Step Forecasting (2004)Multi‐Step ForecastingForecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables* (2004)Forecast Pooling for European…Multi-period forecasting using different models for different horizons: an application to U.S. economic time series data (2003)Multi-period forecasting usin…A personal journey through time series in Biometrika (2001)A personal journey through ti…DIRECT AUTOREGRESSIVE PREDICTORS FOR MULTISTEP PREDICTION: ORDER SELECTION AND PERFORMANCE RELATIVE TO THE PLUG IN PREDICTORS (1997)DIRECT AUTOREGRESSIVE PREDICT…Asymptotic Mean Square Prediction Error for an Autoregressive Model with Estimated Coefficients (1976)Broadband log-periodogram regression of time series with long-range dependence (1999)Fractional Brownian Motions, Fractional Noises and Applications (1968)AN INTRODUCTION TO LONG‐MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS AND FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCING (1980)Fractional Differencing (1981)The distribution of realized stock return volatility (2001)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards (2004)A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960 (1964)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (2001)The X-11 variant of the census method II seasonal adjustment program (1965)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. (1971)Sliding-Spans Diagnostics for Seasonal and Related Adjustments (1990)Combining filter design with model-based filtering (with an application to business-cycle estimation) (2005)Time series modeling and decomposition (2013)Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity Against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How Sure Are We That Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root? (1991)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis (1993)25 Years of Iif Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review (2005)Advances in Statistical Forecasting Methods: An Overview (2018)Temporal Aggregation of Garch Processes (1993)Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis (1999)The accuracy of intermittent demand estimates (2004)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Estimating Properties of Autoregressive Forecasts (1987)Forecasting from non‐linear models in practice (1994)Guest Editors’ Introduction: Information in Economic Forecasting (2005)Measuring the Advantages of Multivariate vs. Univariate Forecasts (2007)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root (1996)Forecasting US employment growth using forecast combining methods (2008)Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time‐varying weights (2009)Short-term air temperature forecasting using Nonparametric Functional Data Analysis and SARMA models (2018)The Impact of Empirical Accuracy Studies on Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (1995)DIRECT MULTI‐STEP ESTIMATION AND FORECASTING (2007)Multi-step-ahead time series prediction using multiple-output support vector regression (2013)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1979Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root23,183 cited
  • 1983THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION OF LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS2,936 cited
  • 1961Prediction by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages and Related Methods263 cited
  • 1983The Prediction of Time Series With Trends and Seasonalities121 cited

Cited by

  • 2004Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables*67 cited
  • 2003Multi-period forecasting using different models for different horizons: an application to U.S. economic time series data65 cited
  • 1997DIRECT AUTOREGRESSIVE PREDICTORS FOR MULTISTEP PREDICTION: ORDER SELECTION AND PERFORMANCE RELATIVE TO THE PLUG IN PREDICTORS45 cited
  • 2011Forecast horizon aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA) models39 cited
  • 2004Multi‐Step Forecasting39 cited
  • 2006Direct Multi-Step Estimation and Forecasting30 cited
  • 2008Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series: historical perspective and future developments20 cited
  • 2009Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis18 cited
  • 2012Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models18 cited
  • 2001A personal journey through time series in Biometrika14 cited

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  • 2014A Model-Based Analysis of Spillovers11 cited