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Does the stock market predict real activity? Time series evidence from the G-7 countries
11 references·16 citing·46 second hop
Does the stock market predict real activity? Time series evidence from the G-7 countries (1999)Does the stock market predict real activi…Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality (2010)Advertising and Aggregate Con…Stock returns and real activity: A structural approach (1995)Stock returns and real activi…Causal Relations Among Stock Returns, Interest Rates, Real Activity, and Inflation (1992)Causal Relations Among Stock …The Stock Market and Investment (1990)The Stock Market and Investme…Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity (1990)Stock Returns, Expected Retur…Stock Returns and Real Activity: A Century of Evidence (1990)Stock Returns and Real Activi…Stock returns and inflation (1987)Stock returns and inflationThe Fiscal and Monetary Linkage Between Stock Returns and Inflation (1983)The Fiscal and Monetary Linka…Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Likelihood Ratio Statistics f…Testing for causality (1980)Testing for causalityAdvertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality (1980)Advertising and Aggregate Con…McVCsB: A new hybrid deep learning network for stock index prediction (2023)McVCsB: A new hybrid deep lea…Stock returns and interest rates around the World: A panel data approach (2016)Stock returns and interest ra…Recession Prediction Using Yield Curve and Stock Market Liquidity Deviation Measures (2014)Recession Prediction Using Yi…Natural gas prices and stock prices: Evidence from EU-15 countries (2012)Natural gas prices and stock …International Portfolio Diversification and Multilateral Effects of Correlations (2012)International Portfolio Diver…Do stock prices contain predictive power for the future economic activity? A Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain (2012)Do stock prices contain predi…Macro economy, stock market and oil prices: Do meaningful relationships exist among their cyclical fluctuations? (2010)Macro economy, stock market a…Financial Sector Pro-Cyclicality: Lessons from the Crisis (2009)Financial Sector Pro-Cyclical…Stock returns and economic activity in mature and emerging markets (2008)Stock returns and economic ac…Wavelet analysis of stock returns and aggregate economic activity (2007)Wavelet analysis of stock ret…Output and expected returns (2006)Output and expected returnsWealth and Asset Price Effects on Economic Activity (2005)Wealth and Asset Price Effect…Do stock market returns predict changes to output? Evidence from a nonlinear panel data model (2004)Do stock market returns predi…Stock returns and real activity in the G-7 countries: did the relationship change during the 1980s? (2003)Stock returns and real activi…Stock returns and output growth in emerging and advanced economies (2003)Stock returns and output grow…Stock Returns and Output Growth in Emerging and Advanced Economies (2000)Stock Returns and Output Grow…Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Estimation of Common Long-Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems (1995)Cross-Sectional versus Longitudinal Survey Research: Concepts, Findings, and Guidelines (2008)Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels (2012)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY (1990)Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest (2017)Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a nonparametric panel data model (2019)COVID-19 and the Oil Price – Stock Market Nexus: Evidence From Net Oil-Importing Countries (2020)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Oil price shocks and stock market activity (1999)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (2001)Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties (2002)Asset returns and inflation (1977)Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money (1981)Economic Significance of Predictable Variations in Stock Index Returns (1989)Time Variations and Covariations in the Expectation and Volatility of Stock Market Returns (1994)The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market (2003)Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Economic Forces and the Stock Market (1986)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations (1991)Idiosyncratic Risk Matters! (2003)There is a risk-return trade-off after all (2005)Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)On Stock Market Returns and Monetary Policy (1997)Consumer Confidence and Asset Prices: Some Empirical Evidence (2006)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods (2010)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias (1993)Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditions (1993)Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns (2000)A General Equilibrium Approach To Monetary Theory (1969)Tobin's Marginal q and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation (1982)Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk (1993)The Stock Market and Corporate Investment: A Test of Catering Theory (2008)In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use? (2005)Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis (2005)Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality (2006)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1981Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root14,647 cited
  • 1980Testing for causality1,747 cited
  • 1990Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity1,553 cited
  • 1983The Fiscal and Monetary Linkage Between Stock Returns and Inflation978 cited
  • 1990Stock Returns and Real Activity: A Century of Evidence733 cited
  • 1990The Stock Market and Investment691 cited
  • 1992Causal Relations Among Stock Returns, Interest Rates, Real Activity, and Inflation551 cited
  • 1980Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality548 cited
  • 1987Stock returns and inflation426 cited
  • 2010Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality189 cited
  • 1995Stock returns and real activity: A structural approach107 cited

Cited by

  • 2010Macro economy, stock market and oil prices: Do meaningful relationships exist among their cyclical fluctuations?259 cited
  • 2007Wavelet analysis of stock returns and aggregate economic activity200 cited
  • 2003Stock returns and output growth in emerging and advanced economies143 cited
  • 2006Output and expected returns138 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2012Natural gas prices and stock prices: Evidence from EU-15 countries89 cited
  • 2009Financial Sector Pro-Cyclicality: Lessons from the Crisis88 cited
  • 2012Do stock prices contain predictive power for the future economic activity? A Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain88 cited
  • 2003Stock returns and real activity in the G-7 countries: did the relationship change during the 1980s?83 cited
  • 2008Stock returns and economic activity in mature and emerging markets73 cited
  • 2004Do stock market returns predict changes to output? Evidence from a nonlinear panel data model64 cited
  • 2005Wealth and Asset Price Effects on Economic Activity64 cited
  • 2016Stock returns and interest rates around the World: A panel data approach64 cited
  • 2014Recession Prediction Using Yield Curve and Stock Market Liquidity Deviation Measures47 cited
  • 2023McVCsB: A new hybrid deep learning network for stock index prediction45 cited
  • 2000Stock Returns and Output Growth in Emerging and Advanced Economies42 cited
  • 2012International Portfolio Diversification and Multilateral Effects of Correlations40 cited