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Long-Horizon Exchange Rate Predictability?
16 references·16 citing·45 second hopsampled
Long-Horizon Exchange Rate Predictability? (2001)Long-Horizon Exchange Rate Predictability?Exchange rates and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon predictability (1995)Exchange rates and fundamenta…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyPredictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias (1993)Predictable Stock Returns: Th…Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement (1992)Dividend Yields and Expected …Cointegration in partial systems and the efficiency of single-equation analysis (1992)Cointegration in partial syst…Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View (1991)Yield Spreads and Interest Ra…Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Heteroskedasticity and Autoco…Term-structure forecasts of interest rates, inflation and real returns (1990)Term-structure forecasts of i…Nonparametric exchange rate prediction? (1990)Nonparametric exchange rate p…Drawing inferences from statistics based on multiyear asset returns (1989)Drawing inferences from stati…Was It Real? The Exchange Rate‐Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating‐Rate Period (1988)Was It Real? The Exchange Rat…Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends (1988)Stock Prices, Earnings, and E…Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics (1986)Understanding spurious regres…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimator…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimator…Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates (2015)Can oil prices forecast excha…The predictive information content of external imbalances for exchange rate returns: How much is it worth? (2012)The predictive information co…Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals (2011)Short-run forecasting of the …Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR (2009)Forecasting exchange rates wi…Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship? (2009)Exchange Rates and Fundamenta…An Economic Evaluation of Empirical Exchange Rate Models (2008)An Economic Evaluation of Emp…Heterogeneous expectations, exchange rate dynamics and predictability (2007)Heterogeneous expectations, e…Chapter 5 Predictive Density Evaluation (2006)Chapter 5 Predictive Density …Towards a solution to the puzzles in exchange rate economics: where do we stand? (2005)Towards a solution to the puz…TESTING LONG‐HORIZON PREDICTIVE ABILITY WITH HIGH PERSISTENCE, AND THE MEESE–ROGOFF PUZZLE* (2005)TESTING LONG‐HORIZON PREDICTI…Exchange Rate Predictability and Monetary Fundamentals in a Small Multi-Country Panel (2005)Exchange Rate Predictability …Testing the monetary model of exchange rate determination: a closer look at panels (2004)Testing the monetary model of…Exchange rates and fundamentals: evidence on the economic value of predictability (2004)Exchange rates and fundamenta…Nonlinear prediction of exchange rates with monetary fundamentals (2003)Nonlinear prediction of excha…Exchange rate forecasting: the errors we’ve really made (2003)Exchange rate forecasting: th…How Well Do Monetary Fundamentals Forecast Exchange Rates? (2002)How Well Do Monetary Fundamen…Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics (1976)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange (2003)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960 (1964)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (2001)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. 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(1985)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics (2003)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross‐Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time‐Varying (2001)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels (2003)
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References

  • 1979Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root23,183 cited
  • 1979Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root9,128 cited
  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1991Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation4,039 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 1988Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends2,457 cited
  • 1986Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics1,782 cited
  • 1991Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View1,780 cited
  • 1992Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement1,521 cited
  • 1995Exchange rates and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon predictability1,044 cited
  • 1992Cointegration in partial systems and the efficiency of single-equation analysis982 cited
  • 1988Was It Real? The Exchange Rate‐Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating‐Rate Period825 cited
  • 1993Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias651 cited
  • 1990Nonparametric exchange rate prediction?484 cited
  • 1990Term-structure forecasts of interest rates, inflation and real returns

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444 cited
  • 1989Drawing inferences from statistics based on multiyear asset returns410 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2008An Economic Evaluation of Empirical Exchange Rate Models265 cited
    • 2015Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates257 cited
    • 2003Exchange rate forecasting: the errors we’ve really made244 cited
    • 2009Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR169 cited
    • 2009Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship?154 cited
    • 2006Chapter 5 Predictive Density Evaluation149 cited
    • 2004Testing the monetary model of exchange rate determination: a closer look at panels148 cited
    • 2004Exchange rates and fundamentals: evidence on the economic value of predictability141 cited
    • 2005Towards a solution to the puzzles in exchange rate economics: where do we stand?121 cited
    • 2002How Well Do Monetary Fundamentals Forecast Exchange Rates?119 cited
    • 2005TESTING LONG‐HORIZON PREDICTIVE ABILITY WITH HIGH PERSISTENCE, AND THE MEESE–ROGOFF PUZZLE*116 cited
    • 2011Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals109 cited
    • 2007Heterogeneous expectations, exchange rate dynamics and predictability106 cited
    • 2003Nonlinear prediction of exchange rates with monetary fundamentals105 cited
    • 2005Exchange Rate Predictability and Monetary Fundamentals in a Small Multi-Country Panel100 cited
    • 2012The predictive information content of external imbalances for exchange rate returns: How much is it worth?95 cited