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“I could never have expected it to happen”: The reversal of the hindsight bias
14 references·16 citing·35 second hop
“I could never have expected it to happen”: The reversal of the hindsight bias (1990)“I could never have expected it to happen…Reduction of hindsight bias by restoration of foresight perspective: Effectiveness of foresight-encoding and hindsight-retrieval strategies (1987)Reduction of hindsight bias b…Getting what you want by revising what you had. (1984)Getting what you want by revi…Getting what you want by revising what you had. (1984)Getting what you want by revi…Causes and effects of causal attribution. (1984)Causes and effects of causal …When people ask "why" questions, and the heuristics of attributional search. (1981)When people ask "why" questio…The Distorted Nature of Hindsight (1981)The Distorted Nature of Hinds…Attributions in the sports pages. (1980)Attributions in the sports pa…On the psychology of experimental surprises. (1977)On the psychology of experime…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…I knew it would happen (1975)I knew it would happenHindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1975)Hindsight is not equal to for…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1974)Hindsight-foresight: The effe…Coefficient Alpha and the Internal Structure of Tests (1951)Coefficient Alpha and the Int…Judging Audit Quality in Light of Adverse Outcomes: Evidence of Outcome Bias and Reverse Outcome Bias* (2008)Judging Audit Quality in Ligh…How management style moderates the relationship between abusive supervision and workplace deviance: An uncertainty management theory perspective (2008)How management style moderate…The Role of Surprise in Hindsight Bias: A Metacognitive Model of Reduced and Reversed Hindsight Bias (2007)The Role of Surprise in Hinds…Metacognitive Experiences and Hindsight Bias: It's Not Just the Thought (Content) That Counts! (2007)Metacognitive Experiences and…Perceiving events as both inevitable and unforeseeable in hindsight: The Leipzig candidacy for the Olympics (2006)Perceiving events as both ine…Hindsight Bias in Gustatory Judgments (2003)Hindsight Bias in Gustatory J…"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability (2003)"I couldn't have seen it comi…Hindsight Bias Around the World (2002)Hindsight Bias Around the Wor…Hindsight Bias Around the World (2002)Hindsight Bias Around the Wor…Certainty and Uncertainty: The Two Faces of the Hindsight Bias (2002)Certainty and Uncertainty: Th…A Research Note on the Influence of Outcome Knowledge on Audit Partners' Judgments (2002)A Research Note on the Influe…The Effectiveness of Collective Retrospection as a Mechanism of Organizational Learning (1999)The Effectiveness of Collecti…Strategic Bias: The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Strategy (1999)Strategic Bias: The Impact of…The Effects of Feedback Source and Plausibility of Hindsight Bias (1998)The Effects of Feedback Sourc…The confidence-hindsight mirror effect in judgment: An accuracy-assessment model for the knew-it-all-along phenomenon. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1951Coefficient Alpha and the Internal Structure of Tests43,892 cited
  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
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  • 1980Attributions in the sports pages.518 cited
  • 1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.488 cited
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  • 1987Reduction of hindsight bias by restoration of foresight perspective: Effectiveness of foresight-encoding and hindsight-retrieval strategies68 cited
  • 1981The Distorted Nature of Hindsight68 cited

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  • 2008How management style moderates the relationship between abusive supervision and workplace deviance: An uncertainty management theory perspective

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387 cited
  • 2008Judging Audit Quality in Light of Adverse Outcomes: Evidence of Outcome Bias and Reverse Outcome Bias*100 cited
  • 1999The Effectiveness of Collective Retrospection as a Mechanism of Organizational Learning71 cited
  • 2002Hindsight Bias Around the World63 cited
  • 2002Hindsight Bias Around the World58 cited
  • 1998The confidence-hindsight mirror effect in judgment: An accuracy-assessment model for the knew-it-all-along phenomenon.47 cited
  • 2007The Role of Surprise in Hindsight Bias: A Metacognitive Model of Reduced and Reversed Hindsight Bias45 cited
  • 2002A Research Note on the Influence of Outcome Knowledge on Audit Partners' Judgments41 cited
  • 2003"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability40 cited
  • 2007Metacognitive Experiences and Hindsight Bias: It's Not Just the Thought (Content) That Counts!39 cited
  • 1998The Effects of Feedback Source and Plausibility of Hindsight Bias37 cited
  • 2006Perceiving events as both inevitable and unforeseeable in hindsight: The Leipzig candidacy for the Olympics36 cited
  • 1999Strategic Bias: The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Strategy29 cited
  • 2003Hindsight Bias in Gustatory Judgments28 cited
  • 2002Certainty and Uncertainty: The Two Faces of the Hindsight Bias28 cited
  • 1998Causality as an influence on hindsight bias: An empirical examination of judges' evaluation of professional audit judgment27 cited