Chancing an interpretation: Slutsky's random cycles revisited

Vincent Barnett

22 citations0/0 files storedEuropean Journal of the History of Economic Thought

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Economic Theory and Policy Economic Theory and Institutions Historical Economic and Legal Thought

Abstract

This article examines Slutsky's 1927 paper ‘The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclic Processes'. It provides an in-depth analysis of both the content and the reception of Slutsky's groundbreaking contribution by distinguishing between a ‘real' and a ‘statistical' interpretation of Slutsky's two related hypotheses, and also discusses the context of composition of the paper in the Moscow Conjuncture Institute. It then places the 1927 paper in the context of Slutsky's other work in economics and statistics, and highlights some lines of influence that have emanated from it. Various latent ambiguities in Slutsky's ideas are considered.

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1986Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement 1990The History of Econometric Ideas 1937The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclic Processes 1990Business Cycles: Real Facts and a Monetary Myth 1946Measuring Business Cycles.1948Measuring Business Cycles.2024Propagation Problems and Impulse Problems in Dynamic Economics1 1988The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics

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