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Do option markets correctly price the probabilities of movement of the underlying asset?
16 references·16 citing·28 second hopsampled
Do option markets correctly price the probabilities of movement of the underlying asset? (2001)Do option markets correctly price the pro…Numerical solution of stochastic differential equations (2016)Numerical solution of stochas…Theory of rational option pricing (2005)Theory of rational option pri…Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests (1998)Implied Volatility Functions:…Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models (1997)Empirical Performance of Alte…Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options (1996)Jumps and Stochastic Volatili…Implied Binomial Trees (1994)Implied Binomial TreesImplications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies (1991)Implications of Security Mark…Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies (1990)Implications of Security Mark…The equity premium: A puzzle (1985)The equity premium: A puzzleMartingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets (1979)Martingales and arbitrage in …Prices of State-Contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices (1978)Prices of State-Contingent Cl…Foundations of Finance. (1977)Foundations of Finance.The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes (1976)The valuation of options for …Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous (1976)Option pricing when underlyin…Theory of Rational Option Pricing (1973)Theory of Rational Option Pri…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)The Pricing of Options and Co…Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk (2018)Option Prices in a Model with…Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns (2017)Good and Bad Variance Premia …Applied Quantitative Finance (2017)Applied Quantitative FinancePredictable Dynamics in Higher-Order Risk-Neutral Moments: Evidence from the S&P 500 Options (2013)Predictable Dynamics in Highe…Using Markets to Inform Policy: The Case of the Iraq War (2009)Using Markets to Inform Polic…Crash Risk in Currency Markets (2009)Crash Risk in Currency MarketsThe implied volatility smirk (2008)The implied volatility smirkIndividual stock-option prices and credit spreads (2008)Individual stock-option price…An Empirical Portfolio Perspective on Option Pricing Anomalies (2007)An Empirical Portfolio Perspe…Why Does Implied Risk Aversion Smile? (2006)Why Does Implied Risk Aversio…A semiparametric factor model for implied volatility surface dynamics (2006)A semiparametric factor model…Convergence of numerical schemes for viscosity solutions to integro-differential degenerate parabolic problems arising in financial theory (2004)Convergence of numerical sche…What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq? (2003)What Do Financial Markets Thi…Telling from Discrete Data Whether the Underlying Continuous‐Time Model Is a Diffusion (2002)Telling from Discrete Data Wh…Recovering the probability density function of asset prices using garch as diffusion approximations (2001)Recovering the probability de…Jump-Diffusion Processes: Volatility Smile Fitting and Numerical Methods for Pricing (1999)Jump-Diffusion Processes: Vol…EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Option pricing: A simplified approach (1979)The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions (2000)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Analysis of Financial Time Series (2006)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)The Variance Gamma Process and Option Pricing (1998)Option valuation using the fast Fourier transform (1999)The Impact of Jumps in Volatility and Returns (2003)Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling (1997)Alternative models for stock price dynamics (2003)Multilevel Monte Carlo Path Simulation (2008)Good News and Bad News: Representation Theorems and Applications (1981)Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach (2001)The Value of Waiting to Invest (1982)
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References

  • 1973The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities29,064 cited
  • 1973Theory of Rational Option Pricing8,060 cited
  • 2005Theory of rational option pricing7,161 cited
  • 1976Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous5,965 cited
  • 1985The equity premium: A puzzle5,785 cited
  • 2016Numerical solution of stochastic differential equations5,001 cited
  • 1979Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets3,595 cited
  • 1976The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes2,935 cited
  • 1997Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models2,708 cited
  • 1996Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options2,272 cited
  • 1978Prices of State-Contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices2,209 cited
  • 1994Implied Binomial Trees1,749 cited
  • 1998Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests1,248 cited
  • 1991Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies1,182 cited
  • 1977Foundations of Finance.1,128 cited
  • 1990Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies

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1,088 cited

Cited by

  • 2002Telling from Discrete Data Whether the Underlying Continuous‐Time Model Is a Diffusion197 cited
  • 2009Crash Risk in Currency Markets187 cited
  • 2009Using Markets to Inform Policy: The Case of the Iraq War160 cited
  • 2017Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns151 cited
  • 2003What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?144 cited
  • 2007An Empirical Portfolio Perspective on Option Pricing Anomalies136 cited
  • 2006A semiparametric factor model for implied volatility surface dynamics111 cited
  • 2006Why Does Implied Risk Aversion Smile?110 cited
  • 2018Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk110 cited
  • 2004Convergence of numerical schemes for viscosity solutions to integro-differential degenerate parabolic problems arising in financial theory107 cited
  • 2008The implied volatility smirk101 cited
  • 2013Predictable Dynamics in Higher-Order Risk-Neutral Moments: Evidence from the S&P 500 Options99 cited
  • 2001Recovering the probability density function of asset prices using garch as diffusion approximations97 cited
  • 1999Jump-Diffusion Processes: Volatility Smile Fitting and Numerical Methods for Pricing95 cited
  • 2017Applied Quantitative Finance93 cited
  • 2008Individual stock-option prices and credit spreads87 cited