An Empirical Analysis of Economic Performance under the Marketing Order for Raisins

Abstract

Abstract This study utilizes a dynamic econometric model of the California raisin industry to compare predictions of prices, production, profits, and related measures under the volume control program with predictions under several no‐control scenarios. The outcomes are evaluated in relation to performance criteria proposed by a USDA study team. The twenty‐two‐year comparisons suggest that the public interest may have been well served by the raisin volume control program, or at worst there was no significant welfare loss.

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