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Econometric GNP forecasts: Incremental information relative to naive extrapolation
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References

  • 2000Forecasting Economic Time Series1,768 cited
  • 1984Improved methods of combining forecasts1,152 cited
  • 1977Forecasting Economic Time Series697 cited
  • 1983Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results622 cited
  • 1972The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy399 cited
  • 1983The Econometric Analysis of Economic Time Series372 cited
  • 1986Combining Economic Forecasts341 cited
  • 1985Limits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources303 cited
  • 1973Some comments on the evaluation of economic forecasts263 cited
  • 1986Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts172 cited
  • 1973A RE‐EXAMINATION OF MARKET AND INDUSTRY FACTORS IN STOCK PRICE BEHAVIOR143 cited
  • 1984The accuracy of individual and group forecasts from business outlook surveys125 cited
  • 1986Unstable Weights in the Combination of Forecasts107 cited
  • 1975The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors94 cited
  • 1983Optimal Aggregation of Money Supply Forecasts: Accuracy, Profitability and Market Efficiency

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