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The psychology of forecasting
16 references·1 citing·31 second hop
The psychology of forecasting (1986)The psychology of forecastingForecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting methods and appli…The Psychology of Control (1985)The Psychology of ControlBehavioral Decision Making (1985)Behavioral Decision MakingBehavioural decision theory (1984)Behavioural decision theoryUnrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…Uncertainty measurement: A cognitive taxonomy (1978)Uncertainty measurement: A co…Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. (1978)Fault trees: Sensitivity of e…SMIC 74—A method for constructing and ranking scenarios (1975)SMIC 74—A method for construc…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Cognitive Processes and the A…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Management Guide to PERT/CPM (1969)Management Guide to PERT/CPMDecision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Stability of Choices among Uncertain Alternatives (1956)Stability of Choices among Un…A Bayesian Model for Sales Forecasting at Sun Microsystems (2010)A Bayesian Model for Sales Fo…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The origin of predictable behavior (1983)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Measuring System Usage: Implications for IS Theory Testing (1995)Human Problem Solving (1972)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Self-generated validity and other effects of measurement on belief, attitude, intention, and behavior. (1988)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Market-Oriented Ethnography: Interpretation Building and Marketing Strategy Formulation (1994)Windows of Opportunity: Temporal Patterns of Technological Adaptation in Organizations (1994)The Contours of Positive Human Health (1998)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Optimism, coping, and health: Assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. (1985)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Hopelessness depression: A theory-based subtype of depression. (1989)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)Coping with Uncertainty: A Naturalistic Decision-Making Analysis (1997)The antecedents and consequents of user perceptions in information technology adoption (1998)The irrelevance of inference: a decision-making approach to the stochastic evaluation of health care technologies (1999)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

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  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1993Forecasting methods and applications2,393 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
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  • 1975SMIC 74—A method for constructing and ranking scenarios116 cited
  • 1984Behavioural decision theory

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  • 2010A Bayesian Model for Sales Forecasting at Sun Microsystems28 cited