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Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models
14 references·7 citing·45 second hop
Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models (1997)Further thoughts on simplicity and comple…Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods (1995)Beyond accuracy: Comparison o…An Evaluation of Population Projection Errors for Census Tracts (1995)An Evaluation of Population P…Tests of Forecast Accuracy and Bias for County Population Projections (1987)Tests of Forecast Accuracy an…Projections of the Population of the United States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1983 to 2080. (1984)Projections of the Population…An assessment of the accuracy of a regional economic-demographic projection model (1984)An assessment of the accuracy…Accuracy in forecasting: A survey (1984)Accuracy in forecasting: A su…The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Accuracy of Population Pr…Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983)Averages of Forecasts: Some E…The Limits of Population Forecasting (1981)The Limits of Population Fore…Re-Evaluation of the Logistic Curve for Human Populations (1981)Re-Evaluation of the Logistic…Long-Range Forecasting. (1979)Long-Range Forecasting.Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation (1979)Accuracy of Forecasting: An E…The Accuracy of Population Projections for Subcounty Areas (1977)The Accuracy of Population Pr…A Short Method for Projecting Population By Age from One Decennial Census to Another (1962)A Short Method for Projecting…Evaluation of Alternative Cohort-Component Models for Local Area Population Forecasts (2015)Evaluation of Alternative Coh…New Evaluations of Simple Models for Small Area Population Forecasts (2014)New Evaluations of Simple Mod…New cohort fertility forecasts for the developed world (2012)New cohort fertility forecast…A review of sub-regional population projection methods (2011)A review of sub-regional popu…Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research (2004)Forecasting Competitions: The…Selecting Forecasting Methods (2001)Selecting Forecasting MethodsExtrapolation for Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data (2001)Extrapolation for Time-Series…The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success (1988)Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking (1993)Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation (2001)Standards and Practices for Forecasting (2001)Forecasting in Short-Term Planning and Management for a Casino Buffet Restaurant (2004)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)On the psychology of prediction. 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References

  • 1983Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results622 cited
  • 1979Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation514 cited
  • 1981The Limits of Population Forecasting297 cited
  • 1984Projections of the Population of the United States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1983 to 2080.264 cited
  • 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections241 cited
  • 1984Accuracy in forecasting: A survey233 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting.203 cited
  • 1995Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods148 cited
  • 1987Tests of Forecast Accuracy and Bias for County Population Projections103 cited
  • 1962A Short Method for Projecting Population By Age from One Decennial Census to Another82 cited
  • 1995An Evaluation of Population Projection Errors for Census Tracts81 cited
  • 1977The Accuracy of Population Projections for Subcounty Areas79 cited
  • 1981Re-Evaluation of the Logistic Curve for Human Populations57 cited
  • 1984An assessment of the accuracy of a regional economic-demographic projection model51 cited

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  • 2001Selecting Forecasting Methods90 cited

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2001
Extrapolation for Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data
76 cited
  • 2004Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research71 cited
  • 2015Evaluation of Alternative Cohort-Component Models for Local Area Population Forecasts45 cited
  • 2012New cohort fertility forecasts for the developed world37 cited
  • 2014New Evaluations of Simple Models for Small Area Population Forecasts36 cited
  • 2011A review of sub-regional population projection methods15 cited