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Predicting the Turning Points of a Time Series

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References

1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control19,200 cited

Cited by

1994Predicting cyclical turning points with leading index in a markov switching model112 cited
1987Predicting the Turning Points of Business and Economic Time Series84 cited
1986Sampling the Future: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting From Univariate Time Series Models61 cited
1991Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques59 cited
2000Knowing the cycle55 cited
1999How Reliable Are Recession Prediction Models53 cited
1999Dissecting the Cycle53 cited
2004Turning points in economic time series, loss structures, and Bayesian forecasting (1990)49 cited
2006Chapter 16 Leading Indicators46 cited
2001BAYESIAN MODELING OF ECONOMIES AND DATA REQUIREMENTS45 cited
2021Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach27 cited
2000Leading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil27 cited
2010Change-Point Problems: Bibliography and Review26 cited
2007CO‐MOVEMENT OF AUSTRALIAN STATE BUSINESS CYCLES*24 cited
2007

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The 2001 Us Recession: What Did Recession Prediction Models Tell Us?

16 cited