Experience and the base-rate fallacyJay J. J. Christensen-Szalanski, Lee Roy Beach1982-04-01articleOrganizational Behavior and Human Performance236 citationsclosedNo readable copy stored yet — this record is metadata only.Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsClinical Reasoning and Diagnostic SkillsLeadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making StudiesAbstractNo abstract was published for this record.Citations in this libraryStored only when both papers are in the corpus — 236 citations exist upstream.References1973On the psychology of prediction.1981Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgement and Choice1980The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.2014Cognition and Social Behavior1976Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation1976The cognitive side of probability learning.1981Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgment and ChoiceCited by1984A test of leadership categorization theory: Internal structure, information processing, and leadership perceptions1989Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability.2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability1985THE EFFECTS OF FRAMING AND NEGOTIATOR OVERCONFIDENCE ON BARGAINING BEHAVIORS AND OUTCOMES.1986Assessing uncertainty in physical constants2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives1988Problem structure and the use of base-rate information from experience.1989Patient variable biases in clinical judgment: Conceptual overview and methodological considerations.