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Hindsight bias and causal reasoning: a minimalist approach

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References

1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
2008On the relative independence of thinking biases and cognitive ability.840 cited
1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.801 cited
2007The Curse of Knowledge in Reasoning About False Beliefs451 cited
2003"I know, you know': Epistemic egocentrism in children and adults.244 cited
1990Combining Social Concepts: The Role of Causal Reasoning242 cited
2004A Meta-Analysis of Research on Hindsight Bias191 cited
2003Surprise, defence, or making sense: What removes hindsight bias?131 cited
1991Hindsight and Causality120 cited
2007Ways to Assess Hindsight Bias117 cited
1991Effect of self-relevance of an event on hindsight bias: The foreseeability of a layoff.85 cited
1997Does a Surprising Outcome Reinforce or Reverse the Hindsight Bias?69 cited

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1990“I could never have expected it to happen”: The reversal of the hindsight bias66 cited

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2022My Place: How Workers Become Identified with Their Workplaces and Why It Matters67 cited
2016Perspectives on Perspective Taking39 cited
2016Individual Versus Collaborative Information Processing: The Case of Biases in Wikipedia19 cited
2020Hindsight bias and outcome bias in judging directors’ liability and the role of free will beliefs16 cited
2021Why you hide what you know: Neuroscience behind knowledge hiding16 cited
2015Looking Backward and Forward on Hindsight Bias14 cited
2017Biases in the production and reception of collective knowledge: the case of hindsight bias in Wikipedia14 cited
2014Reading about explanations enhances perceptions of inevitability and foreseeability: a cross-cultural study with Wikipedia articles12 cited
2020Do we “fear for the worst” or “Hope for the best” in thinking about the unexpected?: Factors affecting the valence of unexpected outcomes reported for everyday scenarios11 cited
2017Cultural Interpretations of Global Information? Hindsight Bias after Reading Wikipedia Articles across Cultures8 cited
2019Boundaries of the Hindsight Bias1 cited
2014Time is of the Essence? Investigating How Culturally-Based Perceptions of Time Affect Hindsight Bias for Task Completion0 cited