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Dating and predicting phase changes in the U.S. business cycle
4 references·16 citing·46 second hop
Dating and predicting phase changes in the U.S. business cycle (1996)Dating and predicting phase changes in th…Forecasting Output with the Composite Leading Index: A Real-Time Analysis (1991)Forecasting Output with the C…Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It? (1990)Long Swings in the Dollar: Ar…A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A New Approach to the Economi…Optimal prediction of cyclical downturns (1982)Optimal prediction of cyclica…OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (2024)OECD Journal: Journal of Busi…THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION: WHAT DID THE REAL‐TIME GOOGLE TRENDS DATA TELL THE UNITED STATES? (2014)THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION:…Long-term business cycle forecasting through a potential intuitionistic fuzzy least-squares support vector regression approach (2012)Long-term business cycle fore…Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy* (2011)Identification of Slowdowns a…Evaluating the carbon-macroeconomy relationship: Evidence from threshold vector error-correction and Markov-switching VAR models (2011)Evaluating the carbon-macroec…A fuzzy support vector regression model for business cycle predictions (2010)A fuzzy support vector regres…What's a Recession, Anyway? (2008)What's a Recession, Anyway?Some statistical aspects of methods for detection of turning points in business cycles (2006)Some statistical aspects of m…Chapter 16 Leading Indicators (2006)Chapter 16 Leading IndicatorsDetection of Turning Points in Business Cycles (2004)Detection of Turning Points i…A classifying procedure for signalling turning points (2004)A classifying procedure for s…Monitoring cyclical processes. A non-parametric approach (2002)Monitoring cyclical processes…Comparison of regime switching, probit and logit models in dating and forecasting US business cycles (2001)Comparison of regime switchin…Interest rate spreads as predictors of German inflation and business cycles (2000)Interest rate spreads as pred…A further note on the three phases of the US business cycle (2000)A further note on the three p…A further test of the influence of leading indicators on the probability of US business cycle phase shifts (1998)A further test of the influen…Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Dating and forecasting turning points by Bayesian clustering with dynamic structure: a suggestion with an application to Austrian data (2009)Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe* (2010)Innovation activities and business cycles: are trademarks a leading indicator? 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle9,681 cited
  • 1990Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It?984 cited
  • 1991Forecasting Output with the Composite Leading Index: A Real-Time Analysis330 cited
  • 1982Optimal prediction of cyclical downturns204 cited

Cited by

  • 2011Evaluating the carbon-macroeconomy relationship: Evidence from threshold vector error-correction and Markov-switching VAR models72 cited
  • 2000Interest rate spreads as predictors of German inflation and business cycles59 cited
  • 2001Comparison of regime switching, probit and logit models in dating and forecasting US business cycles48 cited
  • 2006Chapter 16 Leading Indicators46 cited
  • 2008What's a Recession, Anyway?42 cited
  • 2012Long-term business cycle forecasting through a potential intuitionistic fuzzy least-squares support vector regression approach42 cited
  • 2004A classifying procedure for signalling turning points39 cited
  • 2002Monitoring cyclical processes. A non-parametric approach38 cited
  • 2010A fuzzy support vector regression model for business cycle predictions37 cited
  • 2014THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION: WHAT DID THE REAL‐TIME GOOGLE TRENDS DATA TELL THE UNITED STATES?

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36 cited
  • 2006Some statistical aspects of methods for detection of turning points in business cycles36 cited
  • 2000A further note on the three phases of the US business cycle34 cited
  • 1998A further test of the influence of leading indicators on the probability of US business cycle phase shifts32 cited
  • 2004Detection of Turning Points in Business Cycles31 cited
  • 2024OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis31 cited
  • 2011Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy*29 cited