MODELLING THE BRADFORD PHENOMENON

Quentin L. Burrell

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scientometrics and bibliometrics research Library Science and Information Web visibility and informetrics

Abstract

A probabilistic mechanism is proposed to describe various forms of the Bradford phenomenon reported in bibliometric research. This leads to a stochastic process termed the Waring process, a special case of which seems to conform with the general features of ‘Bradford's Law’. The presence of a time parameter in the model emphasises that we are considering dynamic systems and allows the possibility of predictions being made.

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References

1949Human behavior and the principle of least effort 1976A general theory of bibliometric and other cumulative advantage processes 1969Bradford's Law and the Bibliography of Science 1944The Statistical Study of Literary Vocabulary 1969Empirical Hyperbolic Distributions (Bradford‐Zipf‐Mandelbrot) for Bibliometric Description and Prediction 1977Lotka's frequency distribution of scientific productivity 1967THE BRADFORD DISTRIBUTION 1948BRADFORD'S LAW OF SCATTERING

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2005The unified scientometric model. Fractality and transfractality 1989ON THE GROWTH OF BIBLIOGRAPHIES WITH TIME: AN EXERCISE IN BIBLIOMETRIC PREDICTION 1995THE DEPENDENCE OF LOTKA'S LAW ON THE SELECTION OF TIME PERIODS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCIENTIFIC AREAS AND AUTHORS 2005The use of the generalized Waring process in modelling informetric data 1990An empirical examination of the existing models for Bradford's law 2024Patterns in the Growth and Thematic Evolution of Artificial Intelligence Research: A Study Using Bradford Distribution of Productivity and Path Analysis

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