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Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.
1 references·16 citing·45 second hopsampled
Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: T…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Overconfidence in Political Behavior (2015)Overconfidence in Political B…Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012)Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common…Toward a synthesis of cognitive biases: How noisy information processing can bias human decision making. (2011)Toward a synthesis of cogniti…Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence. (2010)Two-stage dynamic signal dete…Skilled or unskilled, but still unaware of it: How perceptions of difficulty drive miscalibration in relative comparisons. (2006)Skilled or unskilled, but sti…Arbitrary metrics in psychology. (2006)Arbitrary metrics in psycholo…On Adaptation, Maximization, and Reinforcement Learning Among Cognitive Strategies. (2005)On Adaptation, Maximization, …Towards a balanced social psychology: Causes, consequences, and cures for the problem-seeking approach to social behavior and cognition (2004)Towards a balanced social psy…Overconfidence in Interval Estimates. (2004)Overconfidence in Interval Es…Fast and Frugal Heuristics: The Tools of Bounded Rationality (2004)Fast and Frugal Heuristics: T…Two Systems of Reasoning (2002)Two Systems of ReasoningIncorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value (2002)Incorporating the Irrelevant:…Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation…Experimental practices in economics: A challenge for psychologists? (2000)Experimental practices in eco…Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory. (1997)Unpacking, repacking, and anc…When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists. (1995)When less is more: Counterfac…A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Simple heuristics and rules of thumb: Where psychologists and behavioural biologists might meet (2005)Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes (2007)Breaking the vicious cycle of algorithmic management: A virtue ethics approach to people analytics (2020)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Statistical principles in experimental design. (1962)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Gender and Competition (2011)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Sniffing around oxytocin: review and meta-analyses of trials in healthy and clinical groups with implications for pharmacotherapy (2013)Self-evaluation of decision-making: A general Bayesian framework for metacognitive computation. (2016)Behavioral inattention (2018)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Economic Preferences or Attitude Expressions?: An Analysis of Dollar Responses to Public Issues (1999)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Is Time-Discounting Hyperbolic or Subadditive? (2001)What shapes perceptions of climate change? (2010)Navigating Into the Future or Driven by the Past (2013)Unpacking the exploration–exploitation tradeoff: A synthesis of human and animal literatures. (2015)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Social Learning Theory. (1978)Constructivist and Ecological Rationality in Economics (2003)The Online Recruitment System ORSEE - A Guide for the Organization of Experiments in Economics (2004)Personality and prosocial behavior: A theoretical framework and meta-analysis. (2019)Review of Psychometric theory (2nd ed.). (1979)Measuring individual differences in implicit cognition: The implicit association test. (1998)Measuring individual differences in implicit cognition: The implicit association test. (1998)The Single Category Implicit Association Test as a measure of implicit social cognition. (2006)The psychological effects of meditation: A meta-analysis. (2012)Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: A meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies. (2013)Decision analysis and behavioral research (1986)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Empirical support for higher-order theories of conscious awareness (2011)A new intuitionism: Meaning, memory, and development in Fuzzy-Trace Theory (2012)Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect. (1995)Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases (1997)The Bias Blind Spot: Perceptions of Bias in Self Versus Others (2002)
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References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited

Cited by

  • 2010Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence.722 cited
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  • 2012Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition679 cited
  • 2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability678 cited
  • 2000Experimental practices in economics: A challenge for psychologists?669 cited
  • 2004Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.508 cited
  • 2004Fast and Frugal Heuristics: The Tools of Bounded Rationality490 cited
  • 2005On Adaptation, Maximization, and Reinforcement Learning Among Cognitive Strategies.475 cited
  • 1997Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory.426 cited
  • 2002Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value415 cited
  • 2002Two Systems of Reasoning413 cited
  • 2011Toward a synthesis of cognitive biases: How noisy information processing can bias human decision making.391 cited
  • 2004Towards a balanced social psychology: Causes, consequences, and cures for the problem-seeking approach to social behavior and cognition

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372 cited
  • 1995When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists.369 cited
  • 2015Overconfidence in Political Behavior356 cited
  • 2006Skilled or unskilled, but still unaware of it: How perceptions of difficulty drive miscalibration in relative comparisons.354 cited