Down to Ten: Estimating the Effect of a Red Card in Soccer

Geert Ridder · Jan Salomon Cramer · P. Hopstaken

73 citations0/0 files storedJournal of the American Statistical Association

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Sports Analytics and Performance Sports Performance and Training Probability and Statistical Research

Abstract

We investigate the effect of the expulsion of a player on the outcome of a soccer match by means of a probability model for the score. We propose estimators of the expulsion effect that are independent of the relative strength of the teams. We use the estimates to illustrate the expulsion effect on the outcome of a match.

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1984Econometric Models for Count Data with an Application to the Patents-R & D Relationship 1974Conditional Inference and Models for Measuring.

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