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Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market
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Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market (1972)Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment …A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas (1964)The Scientist Speculates: An …Overconfidence, Compensation Contracts, and Capital Budgeting (2011)Overconfidence, Compensation …Endogenous overconfidence in managerial forecasts (2011)Endogenous overconfidence in …The dynamics of overconfidence: Evidence from stock market forecasters (2010)The dynamics of overconfidenc…A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes (2009)A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesia…Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies (2007)Managerial Overconfidence and…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice (2002)Compatibility Effects in Judg…Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation…The Courage of Misguided Convictions (1999)The Courage of Misguided Conv…Speculation Duopoly with Agreement to Disagree: Can Overconfidence Survive the Market Test? 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References

  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 1964The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas145 cited

Cited by

  • 1989Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability.758 cited
  • 2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability678 cited
  • 1993Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return586 cited
  • 1997Speculation Duopoly with Agreement to Disagree: Can Overconfidence Survive the Market Test?553 cited
  • 2011Overconfidence, Compensation Contracts, and Capital Budgeting539 cited
  • 1991An evaluation of Delphi533 cited
  • 1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score428 cited
  • 1999The Courage of Misguided Convictions395 cited
  • 2007Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies347 cited
  • 1986Assessing uncertainty in physical constants320 cited
  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 1982Subjective confidence in forecasts242 cited
  • 2002Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice

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232 cited
  • 2011Endogenous overconfidence in managerial forecasts226 cited
  • 2009A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes219 cited
  • 2010The dynamics of overconfidence: Evidence from stock market forecasters214 cited