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Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods
16 references·4 citing·36 second hop
Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods (2000)Correct or combine? Mechanically integrat…Review of guidelines for the use of combined forecasts (2000)Review of guidelines for the …A field study of sales forecasting accuracy and processes (2000)A field study of sales foreca…Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy? (1999)Judgmental forecasts of time …Judgemental adjustment of initial forecasts: Its effectiveness and biases (1995)Judgemental adjustment of ini…Judgemental forecasting in times of change (1993)Judgemental forecasting in ti…Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research (1993)Improving judgmental time ser…Rationality of survey data and tests for market efficiency in the foreign exchange markets (1992)Rationality of survey data an…Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)Error measures for generalizi…Database Models and Managerial Intuition: 50% Model + 50% Manager (1990)Database Models and Manageria…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Judgmental forecasting (1988)Judgmental forecastingPromoter: An Automated Promotion Evaluation System (1987)Promoter: An Automated Promot…The Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts (1986)The Accuracy of Combining Jud…The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The Combination of ForecastsApplied Economic Forecasting (1967)Applied Economic ForecastingDemand planning for the digital supply chain: How to integrate human judgment and predictive analytics (2023)Demand planning for the digit…Expertise, credibility of system forecasts and integration methods in judgmental demand forecasting (2016)Expertise, credibility of sys…Experiments on forecasting behavior with several sources of information – A review of the literature (2011)Experiments on forecasting be…The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process (2007)The future of macroeconomic f…Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example. (1974)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts (1974)Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983)Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature (1996)Guidance on Expert Knowledge Elicitation in Food and Feed Safety Risk Assessment (2014)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts (2016)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Forecasting monthly and quarterly time series using STL decomposition (2011)Computing electricity spot price prediction intervals using quantile regression and forecast averaging (2014)Hybrid structures in time series modeling and forecasting: A review (2019)Expert and Novice Performance in Solving Physics Problems (1980)Expertise in Problem Solving. (1981)Combining Forecasts (2001)Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning (2009)The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments (2009)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The illusion of control. (1975)Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review (2009)Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research (2011)Designing Transparency for Effective Human-AI Collaboration (2022)Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model (2003)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2009)The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world (2014)Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets (2001)Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review (2003)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)
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References

  • 1969The Combination of Forecasts3,194 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons1,400 cited
  • 1967Applied Economic Forecasting1,206 cited
  • 1990Database Models and Managerial Intuition: 50% Model + 50% Manager473 cited
  • 2000Review of guidelines for the use of combined forecasts241 cited
  • 1988Judgmental forecasting207 cited
  • 1986The Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts182 cited
  • 1995Judgemental adjustment of initial forecasts: Its effectiveness and biases171 cited
  • 1999Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?141 cited
  • 1992Rationality of survey data and tests for market efficiency in the foreign exchange markets140 cited
  • 2000A field study of sales forecasting accuracy and processes132 cited
  • 1987Promoter: An Automated Promotion Evaluation System131 cited
  • 1993Judgemental forecasting in times of change115 cited

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  • 1993Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research103 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2023Demand planning for the digital supply chain: How to integrate human judgment and predictive analytics63 cited
    • 2016Expertise, credibility of system forecasts and integration methods in judgmental demand forecasting56 cited
    • 2007The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process55 cited
    • 2011Experiments on forecasting behavior with several sources of information – A review of the literature53 cited