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Judgemental forecasting in times of change
13 references·16 citing·37 second hop
Judgemental forecasting in times of change (1993)Judgemental forecasting in times of changeForecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting methods and appli…Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)Error measures for generalizi…Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis (1991)Interaction of Judgemental an…Sales forecasting practices (1987)Sales forecasting practicesThe Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts (1986)The Accuracy of Combining Jud…An examination of the accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series (1985)An examination of the accurac…Forecasting: Methods and Applications (1984)Forecasting: Methods and Appl…Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)Judgement under Uncertainty: …The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)The accuracy of extrapolation…Note. Evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods: Results of a survey of academicians and practitioners (1982)Note. Evaluation of extrapola…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…The illusion of control. (1975)The illusion of control.Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Cognitive Processes and the A…A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods (2021)A survey of human judgement a…Integrating human judgement into quantitative forecasting methods: A review (2018)Integrating human judgement i…Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour? (2015)Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental…Judgmental Forecasting: Cognitive Reflection and Decision Speed (2013)Judgmental Forecasting: Cogni…Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system (2012)Combining statistical and jud…The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts (2008)The effects of integrating ma…Properties of expert adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts (2008)Properties of expert adjustme…Forecasting with cue information: A comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches (2006)Forecasting with cue informat…The impact of presentation media on decision making: does multimedia improve the effectiveness of feedback? (2004)The impact of presentation me…Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research (2004)Forecasting Competitions: The…Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity (2004)Forecasting and Scenario Plan…Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making? (2003)Correspondence to what? Coher…Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts (2002)Integrating management judgme…Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment (2000)Improving the voluntary integ…Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods (2000)Correct or combine? Mechanica…Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting (1996)Graphs versus tables: Effects…Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation (1979)Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983)The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study (1993)Forecasting Practices in US Corporations: Survey Results (1994)Experimental comparison of Web, electronic and mail survey technologies in operations management (2001)Craps and Magic (1967)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Efficacy of the Theory of Planned Behaviour: A meta‐analytic review (2001)Trust and TAM in Online Shopping: An Integrated Model1 (2003)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The New Science of Management Decision (1978)Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature (1996)Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review (2009)Judgmental selection of forecasting models (2018)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The origin of predictable behavior (1983)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Measuring System Usage: Implications for IS Theory Testing (1995)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Exponential smoothing: The state of the art (1985)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts (2016)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)The Influence of Culture, Community, and the Nested‐Self in the Stress Process: Advancing Conservation of Resources Theory (2001)Accuracy in forecasting: A survey (1984)Immediate impact of minimum unit pricing on alcohol purchases in Scotland: controlled interrupted time series analysis for 2015-18 (2019)The effect of challenge-based gamification on learning: An experiment in the context of statistics education (2020)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975The illusion of control.3,843 cited
  • 1983Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases3,812 cited
  • 1993Forecasting methods and applications2,393 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
  • 1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons1,400 cited
  • 1984Forecasting: Methods and Applications636 cited
  • 1975Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions479 cited
  • 1987Sales forecasting practices276 cited
  • 1991Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis187 cited
  • 1986The Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts182 cited
  • 1985An examination of the accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series152 cited
  • 1982Note. Evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods: Results of a survey of academicians and practitioners138 cited

Cited by

  • 2008The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts114 cited
  • 2002Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts

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112 cited
  • 2018Integrating human judgement into quantitative forecasting methods: A review107 cited
  • 2013Judgmental Forecasting: Cognitive Reflection and Decision Speed107 cited
  • 2006Forecasting with cue information: A comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches105 cited
  • 2000Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment98 cited
  • 2012Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system98 cited
  • 2003Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making?97 cited
  • 1996Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting96 cited
  • 2004Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity82 cited
  • 2021A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods78 cited
  • 2004Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research71 cited
  • 2015Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour?70 cited
  • 2008Properties of expert adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts65 cited
  • 2000Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods64 cited
  • 2004The impact of presentation media on decision making: does multimedia improve the effectiveness of feedback?56 cited