Article1989

Age, Period, Cohort and Early Mortality: An Analysis of Adult Mortality in Italy

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Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management Historical Economic and Social Studies Health disparities and outcomes

Abstract

Changes in adult mortality in Italy for cohorts born between 1882 and 1953 are analysed and interpreted by means of two different statistical models. The first, an Age–Period–Early Mortality (APEM) model, is employed to analyse the possible relationships between adverse conditions during the first 15 years of life and subsequent mortality. It is shown that higher mortality early in life is associated with higher mortality up to age 45 and lower mortality at latter ages. Finally, possible links between the observed decline in early mortality and the evolution of adult mortality are analysed and discussed.

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