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An explanation of conservatism in the bookbag-and-pokerchips situation
9 references·16 citing·36 second hop
An explanation of conservatism in the bookbag-and-pokerchips situation (1972)An explanation of conservatism in the boo…Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities. (1967)Sequential effects in the rev…Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Man as an intuitive statistic…A primacy effect in subjective probability revision. (1967)A primacy effect in subjectiv…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Conservatism in a simple prob…Sample size and the revision of subjective probabilities. (1965)Sample size and the revision …Adaptation-level theory : an experimental and systematic approach to behavior (1964)Adaptation-level theory : an …A Study of Thinking (1958)A Study of ThinkingTHE PSYCHOLOGY OF THOUGHT AND JUDGMENT (1955)THE PSYCHOLOGY OF THOUGHT AND…Central tendency bias in belief elicitation (2020)Central tendency bias in beli…The ecological rationality of explanatory reasoning (2019)The ecological rationality of…Optimizing group learning: An evolutionary computing approach (2019)Optimizing group learning: An…Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases (2018)Errors in Probabilistic Reaso…Processing consistency in non-Bayesian inference (2017)Processing consistency in non…The psychology of dynamic probability judgment: order effect, normative theories, and experimental methodology (2007)The psychology of dynamic pro…Not only base rates are neglected in the Engineer-Lawyer problem: An investigation of reasoners’ underutilization of complementarity (2000)Not only base rates are negle…Cognitive Approaches to Judgment and Decision Making (1995)Cognitive Approaches to Judgm…Revision of opinion with verbally and numerically expressed uncertainties (1990)Revision of opinion with verb…Intuitive statistical inferences about normally distributed data (1985)Intuitive statistical inferen…Intuitive judgments of proportions, means, and variances: A review (1984)Intuitive judgments of propor…The Supra-Additivity of Subjective Probability (1983)The Supra-Additivity of Subje…DECISION MAKING INVOLVING SEQUENTIAL EVENTS: SOME EFFECTS OF DISAGGREGATED DATA AND DISPOSITIONS TOWARD RISK* (1979)DECISION MAKING INVOLVING SEQ…The influence of order of presentation and characteristics of the datagenerator on opinion revision (1977)The influence of order of pre…Are Subjective Probabilities Probabilities? 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(1994)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning—II (1975)Yes, but it is uncertain: Direction and communicative intention of verbal probabilistic terms (1995)The Joint Effect of Management's Prior Forecast Accuracy and the Form of its Financial Forecasts on Investor Judgment (1999)Is guilt ‘likely’ or ‘not certain’? (2010)FORMING IMPRESSIONS OF PERSONALITY (1961)Emerging technologies for making decisions (1965)An additive model for sequential decision making. (1970)Social Categorization and Behavioral Episodes: A Cognitive Analysis of the Effects of Intergroup Contact (1985)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)What Can Economists Learn from Happiness Research? (2002)Core affect and the psychological construction of emotion. (2003)Sequential Belief Revision in Auditing. (1988)Future-focussed thinking: combining scenario planning with decision analysis (1999)Confirmation bias in sequential information search after preliminary decisions: An expansion of dissonance theoretical research on selective exposure to information. (2001)A Bayesian analysis of attribution processes. (1975)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)Learning theory and the symbolic processes. (1960)Averaging versus adding as a stimulus-combination rule in impression formation. (1965)Creativity and Personality: Suggestions for a Theory (1993)Hypotheses on Misperception (1983)Cognition and creativity (1995)An algebra of human concept learning (2006)A model of investor sentiment /A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1964Adaptation-level theory : an experimental and systematic approach to behavior1,232 cited
  • 1982Conservatism in human information processing1,004 cited
  • 1967Man as an intuitive statistician.966 cited
  • 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.856 cited
  • 1965Sample size and the revision of subjective probabilities.193 cited
  • 1955THE PSYCHOLOGY OF THOUGHT AND JUDGMENT156 cited
  • 1967A primacy effect in subjective probability revision.116 cited
  • 1967Sequential effects in the revision of subjective probabilities.99 cited
  • 1958A Study of Thinking52 cited

Cited by

  • 1990Revision of opinion with verbally and numerically expressed uncertainties42 cited
  • 2019Optimizing group learning: An evolutionary computing approach40 cited
  • 1983The Supra-Additivity of Subjective Probability39 cited
  • 1984Intuitive judgments of proportions, means, and variances: A review38 cited
  • 1995Cognitive Approaches to Judgment and Decision Making33 cited
  • 2019The ecological rationality of explanatory reasoning32 cited
  • 2007

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The psychology of dynamic probability judgment: order effect, normative theories, and experimental methodology
24 cited
  • 2000Not only base rates are neglected in the Engineer-Lawyer problem: An investigation of reasoners’ underutilization of complementarity24 cited
  • 1977The influence of order of presentation and characteristics of the datagenerator on opinion revision21 cited
  • 2017Processing consistency in non-Bayesian inference21 cited
  • 2020Central tendency bias in belief elicitation20 cited
  • 1985Intuitive statistical inferences about normally distributed data17 cited
  • 1979DECISION MAKING INVOLVING SEQUENTIAL EVENTS: SOME EFFECTS OF DISAGGREGATED DATA AND DISPOSITIONS TOWARD RISK*17 cited
  • 1974Are Subjective Probabilities Probabilities?12 cited
  • 2018Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases9 cited
  • 1973Conservatism as non-Bayesian performance: A reply to De Swart8 cited