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On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points
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On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points (1973)On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predi…THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION: WHAT DID THE REAL‐TIME GOOGLE TRENDS DATA TELL THE UNITED STATES? (2014)THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION:…The 2001 Us Recession: What Did Recession Prediction Models Tell Us? (2007)The 2001 Us Recession: What D…Indicators of Business Recessions and Revivals in India: 1951-1982 (2001)Indicators of Business Recess…How Reliable Are Recession Prediction Models (1999)How Reliable Are Recession Pr…Business Cycle Turning Points: Two Empirical Business Cycle Model Approaches (1999)Business Cycle Turning Points…WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD (1994)WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LE…Predicting cyclical turning points with leading index in a markov switching model (1994)Predicting cyclical turning p…Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-1988 (1990)Business Cycle Properties of …TIME SERIES AND SPECTRAL METHODS IN ECONOMETRICS (1984)TIME SERIES AND SPECTRAL METH…The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Twenty-Five Years Later (1981)The Index of Leading Indicato…Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)10 Interest rate spreads as predictors of business cycles (1996)Learning and Structural Change in Macroeconomic Data (2004)Housing Cycles in the Major Euro Area Countries (2010)Measuring Business Cycles (1947)Measuring Business Cycles. (1948)Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? (2005)Scoring the Leading Indicators (1989)Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting US recessions with leading indicators via neural network models (2001)This is what the leading indicators lead (2002)Chapter 16 Leading Indicators (2006)The X-11 variant of the census method II seasonal adjustment program (1965)Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions (1967)Dating Postwar Business Cycles: Methods and Their Application to Western Germany, 1950–67 (1969)Business Cycle Measurement in India (2018)In Search of Attention (2011)Predicting the Present with Google Trends (2012)Google Trends and the forecasting performance of exchange rate models (2017)Forecasting private consumption with Google Trends data (2018)Employing Google Trends and Deep Learning in Forecasting Financial Market Turbulence (2021)A probability model of the coincident economic indicators (1991)A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience (1992)The composite index of leading economic indicators: A comparison of approaches (1999)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Predicting Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Processes (2000)Extending the firm vs. industry debate: Does industry life cycle stage matter? (2013)Measurement Without Theory (1947)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods (2010)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)
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Cited by

  • 1994Predicting cyclical turning points with leading index in a markov switching model112 cited
  • 1981The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Twenty-Five Years Later71 cited
  • 1999How Reliable Are Recession Prediction Models53 cited
  • 1990Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-198849 cited
  • 2014THE 2007–2008 U.S. RECESSION: WHAT DID THE REAL‐TIME GOOGLE TRENDS DATA TELL THE UNITED STATES?36 cited
  • 1984TIME SERIES AND SPECTRAL METHODS IN ECONOMETRICS24 cited
  • 2007The 2001 Us Recession: What Did Recession Prediction Models Tell Us?16 cited
  • 2001Indicators of Business Recessions and Revivals in India: 1951-198212 cited
  • 1994WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD12 cited
  • 1999Business Cycle Turning Points: Two Empirical Business Cycle Model Approaches11 cited

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