On Sequential Detection of a Shift in the Probability of a Rare Event

Abstract

Suppose one is monitoring a sequence of observations for a possible increase in the probability of a rare event, and that it is not possible to immediately stop the process under observation or influence it to return to its normal state. One would then desire a scheme which takes advantage of observations occurring after a detection of a change is proclaimed. A modification of Page's CUSUM Procedure is developed, taking account of these additional observations. A table is given enabling one to select a modified Page procedure with a specified rate of false alarms. A comparison is made between the modified Page procedure and a procedure proposed by Chen (1978).

Cite this work

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 52 citations exist upstream.

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.