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Solving black box computation problems using expert knowledge theory and methods
9 references·3 citing·47 second hop
Solving black box computation problems using expert knowledge theory and methods (2004)Solving black box computation problems us…Challenge problems: uncertainty in system response given uncertain parameters (2004)Challenge problems: uncertain…Mathematical representation of uncertainty (2001)Mathematical representation o…Bias in human judgement under uncertainty? (1995)Bias in human judgement under…Eliciting probabilities from experts in complex technical problems (1991)Eliciting probabilities from …Expert Opinion in Risk Analysis: The NUREG-1150 Methodology (1989)Expert Opinion in Risk Analys…Judgement and Choice: The Psychology of Decision. (1983)Judgement and Choice: The Psy…Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer). (1981)Long Range Forecasting (From …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…Semi-quantitative application to the Functional Resonance Analysis Method for supporting safety management in a complex health-care process (2020)Semi-quantitative application…Localized place-making and the knowledge-based regeneration strategies – The case of Xiasha Village in Shenzhen (2018)Localized place-making and th…Mapping model validation metrics to subject matter expert scores for model adequacy assessment (2014)Mapping model validation metr…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)Decision analysis and behavioral research (1986)Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures (2004)Aggregating Probability Distributions (2007)Structured elicitation of expert judgement for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions (2018)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)A mathematical theory of evidence (1977)Propagation of Uncertainty in Risk Assessments: The Need to Distinguish Between Uncertainty Due to Lack of Knowledge and Uncertainty Due to Variability (1994)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)An exploration of alternative approaches to the representation of uncertainty in model predictions (2004)Review of uncertainty-based multidisciplinary design optimization methods for aerospace vehicles (2011)Imprecise probabilities in engineering analyses (2013)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)Uncertainty in probabilistic risk assessment (1996)Illustration of Sampling‐Based Methods for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis (2002)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)Fuzzy sets (1965)Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design (1975)Probability, reliability and statistical methods in engineering design (1999)Epistemic uncertainty quantification techniques including evidence theory for large-scale structures (2004)Engineering computation under uncertainty – Capabilities of non-traditional models (2007)Stochastic finite element methods for partial differential equations with random input data (2014)Gentrification and the Rent Gap (1987)TheHukouSystem and Rural-Urban Migration in China: Processes and Changes (1999)Developing Professional Knowledge And Competence (2002)Reflection on Shenzhen’s urban village renewal from the perspective of urban fabric (2025)FRAM: The Functional Resonance Analysis Method. Modelling Complex Socio-technical Systems (2012)A Monte Carlo evolution of the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) to assess performance variability in complex systems (2016)What do applications of systems thinking accident analysis methods tell us about accident causation? A systematic review of applications between 1990 and 2018 (2019)A system safety approach to assessing risks in the sepsis treatment process (2021)The Functional Resonance Analysis Method: A Performance Appraisal Tool for Risk Assessment and Accident Investigation in Complex and Dynamic Socio-Technical Systems (2022)Resilience assessment of FPSO leakage emergency response based on quantitative FRAM (2024)Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. (1981)Transformative capacity: Continual structuring by intertemporal technology transfer (1994)Précis of Simple heuristics that make us smart (2000)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)An evaluation of Delphi (1991)The Delphi Technique in Educational Research (2014)Using Delphi technique to build consensus in practice (2014)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1983Judgement and Choice: The Psychology of Decision.607 cited
  • 2004Challenge problems: uncertainty in system response given uncertain parameters570 cited
  • 1981Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer).357 cited
  • 1991Eliciting probabilities from experts in complex technical problems309 cited
  • 2001Mathematical representation of uncertainty289 cited
  • 1989Expert Opinion in Risk Analysis: The NUREG-1150 Methodology154 cited
  • 1995Bias in human judgement under uncertainty?22 cited

Cited by

  • 2020Semi-quantitative application to the Functional Resonance Analysis Method for supporting safety management in a complex health-care process43 cited
  • 2018Localized place-making and the knowledge-based regeneration strategies – The case of Xiasha Village in Shenzhen25 cited
  • 2014Mapping model validation metrics to subject matter expert scores for model adequacy assessment22 cited

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