Scenario-Based Failure Modes and Effects Analysis Using Expected Cost

Steven Kmenta · Koshuke Ishii

66 citations0/0 files storedJournal of Mechanical Design

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Risk and Safety Analysis Reliability and Maintenance Optimization Management Systems and Quality Improvement

Abstract

Failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) uses the product of three ranked factors to compute the risk priority number (RPN). Unfortunately, the RPN components have ambiguous definitions, and multiplying ranked values is not a valid operation. As a result, the RPN produces inconsistent risk priorities. In addition, FMEA uses distinct analyses for each system level and life cycle phase, making it difficult to consolidate interrelated risk information. The goal of scenario-based FMEA is to delineate and evaluate risk events more accurately. Probability and cost provide a consistent basis for risk analysis and decision making, and failure scenarios provide continuity across system levels and life cycle phases.

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References

1981On The Quantitative Definition of Risk 1990Uncertainty 1996Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA From Theory to Execution 2003Hybrid Analysis Method for Reliability-Based Design Optimization 1999Towards a Better Understanding of Modeling Feasibility Robustness in Engineering Design 2017The Basics of FMEA 1993Modelling Failure Modes and Effects Analysis 1981The Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Techniques to Energy Technologies

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