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Filtering and forecasting commodity futures prices under an HMM framework
12 references·3 citing·40 second hop
Filtering and forecasting commodity futures prices under an HMM framework (2013)Filtering and forecasting commodity futur…“Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives” (2016)“Options, Futures, and Other …Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options (2012)Seasonality and the valuation…The Stochastic Seasonal Behaviour of Natural Gas Prices (2010)The Stochastic Seasonal Behav…HMM filtering and parameter estimation of an electricity spot price model (2010)HMM filtering and parameter e…Implications of a regime-switching model on natural gas storage valuation and optimal operation (2009)Implications of a regime-swit…Another look at measures of forecast accuracy (2006)Another look at measures of f…Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching (2005)Option pricing and Esscher tr…Options, Futures and Other Derivatives (2003)Options, Futures and Other De…Energy futures prices: term structure models with Kalman filter estimation (2002)Energy futures prices: term s…AMERICAN OPTIONS WITH REGIME SWITCHING (2002)AMERICAN OPTIONS WITH REGIME …FINANCIAL SIGNAL PROCESSING: A SELF CALIBRATING MODEL (2001)FINANCIAL SIGNAL PROCESSING: …Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. (1993)Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory.Resource extraction with a carbon tax and regime switching prices: Exercising your options (2017)Resource extraction with a ca…Inference for a change-point problem under a generalised Ornstein–Uhlenbeck setting (2017)Inference for a change-point …Electricity futures price models: Calibration and forecasting (2015)Electricity futures price mod…Efficient Analytic Approximation of American Option Values (1987)Markowitz's Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Regime Switching: A Continuous-Time Model (2003)Closed-Form Solutions for Perpetual American Put Options with Regime Switching (2004)Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous (1976)Electricity Prices and Power Derivatives: Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange (2002)Pricing in Electricity Markets: A Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality (2005)Pricing electricity derivatives within a Markov regime-switching model: a risk premium approach (2013)The Crash of ʼ87: Was It Expected? The Evidence from Options Markets (1991)Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process (1996)The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging (1997)Methods for Pricing American Options under Regime Switching (2011)What causes price volatility and regime shifts in the natural gas market (2013)Gas storage valuation and optimization (2015)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Theory of Rational Option Pricing (1973)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching (2007)Markowitz’s mean-variance asset-liability management with regime switching: A continuous-time model (2008)Real option valuation in renewable energy literature: Research focus, trends and design (2017)Bond Pricing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A New Methodology for Contingent Claims Valuation (1992)Stochastic Differential Equations (2003)AnN‐factor Gaussian model of oil futures prices (2006)The dynamics of commodity prices (2013)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)A YIELD‐FACTOR MODEL OF INTEREST RATES (1996)Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach (2001)The pricing of commodity contracts (1976)Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models (1997)Electricity Derivatives Pricing with Forward-Looking Information (2013)Seasonal Stochastic Volatility: Implications for the pricing of commodity options (2016)The economic importance of rare earth elements volatility forecasts (2019)An Engine, Not a Camera (2006)Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures (2006)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (1998)A critical review on supply chain risk – Definition, measure and modeling (2014)Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R (2008)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 2006Another look at measures of forecast accuracy5,736 cited
  • 2016“Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives”5,007 cited
  • 2003Options, Futures and Other Derivatives3,864 cited
  • 1993Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory.2,891 cited
  • 2002AMERICAN OPTIONS WITH REGIME SWITCHING506 cited
  • 2005Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching419 cited
  • 2002Energy futures prices: term structure models with Kalman filter estimation139 cited
  • 2009Implications of a regime-switching model on natural gas storage valuation and optimal operation79 cited
  • 2012Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options79 cited
  • 2010HMM filtering and parameter estimation of an electricity spot price model61 cited
  • 2001FINANCIAL SIGNAL PROCESSING: A SELF CALIBRATING MODEL56 cited
  • 2010The Stochastic Seasonal Behaviour of Natural Gas Prices45 cited

Cited by

  • 2015Electricity futures price models: Calibration and forecasting40 cited
  • 2017Resource extraction with a carbon tax and regime switching prices: Exercising your options31 cited
  • 2017Inference for a change-point problem under a generalised Ornstein–Uhlenbeck setting

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12 cited