Further evidence on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis

Epaminondas Panas · George A. Vamvoukas

78 citations0/0 files storedApplied Economics Letters

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Global trade and economics Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic and Technological Innovation

Abstract

The Export-Led Growth Hypothesis (ELGH) is an interesting subject of research in the field of applied economics. This paper investigates the causal links between exports and output growth in the empirical framework of the Greek economy, using error-correction modelling and multivariate Granger causality. A sensitivity analysis based on impulse responses is implemented to check the robustness of the results. The estimation procedure generates robust results, indicating that the ELGH is not valid in the case of Greece. Furthermore, the empirical findings suggest a strong and consistent causation from output growth to export performance in the long-run.

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References

1988Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression 1991Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models 1991Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth 1991Learning by Doing and the Dynamic Effects of International Trade 1985Exports, growth and causality in developing countries 1990Trade, Innovation, and Growth 1987Exports and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Time-Series and Cross-Section Data 1989Export expansion, growth and the level of economic development

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