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Can Overconfidence be Debiased by Low‐Probability/High‐Consequence Events?
16 references·2 citing·39 second hopsampled
Can Overconfidence be Debiased by Low‐Probability/High‐Consequence Events? (2010)Can Overconfidence be Debiased by Low‐Pro…Is There a Universal Positivity Bias in Attributions? A Meta-Analytic Review of Individual, Developmental, and Cultural Differences in the Self-Serving Attributional Bias. (2004)Is There a Universal Positivi…A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)A perspective on judgment and…The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)The Effects of Financial Ince…The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework \n (1999)The Effects of Financial Ince…On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)On the reality of cognitive i…On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky. (1996)On narrow norms and vague heu…Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Support theory: A nonextensio…Positive illusions and well-being revisited: Separating fact from fiction. (1994)Positive illusions and well-b…The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992)The weighing of evidence and …Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Illusion and well-being: A so…Unrealistic optimism about susceptibility to health problems: Conclusions from a community-wide sample (1987)Unrealistic optimism about su…Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…Self-serving biases in the attribution of causality: Fact or fiction? (1975)Self-serving biases in the at…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…A joint strategy based on ordering and insurance for mitigating the effects of supply chain disruption on risk-averse firms (2021)A joint strategy based on ord…Peer‐comparison overconfidence: Does it measure bias in self‐evaluation? (2012)Peer‐comparison overconfidenc…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)A Model of Reference-Dependent Preferences (2006)Associative and propositional processes in evaluation: An integrative review of implicit and explicit attitude change. (2006)Integrating psychological and neurobiological considerations regarding the development and maintenance of specific Internet-use disorders: An Interaction of Person-Affect-Cognition-Execution (I-PACE) model (2016)The Psychology of Interpersonal Relations. (1958)Generalized expectancies for internal versus external control of reinforcement. (1966)Self-Perception Theory (1972)Just world research and the attribution process: Looking back and ahead. (1978)The totalitarian ego: Fabrication and revision of personal history. (1980)Toward a Self-Evaluation Maintenance Model of Social Behavior (1988)An experimental analysis of ultimatum bargaining (1982)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Pay Enough or Don't Pay at All* (2000)Third-party punishment and social norms (2004)“Economic man” in cross-cultural perspective: Behavioral experiments in 15 small-scale societies (2005)The unpublished manuscript (2018)The theory of planned behavior (1991)A power primer. (1992)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)The Standard Edition of the Complete Psychological Works of Sigmund Freud (1953)The CES-D Scale (1977)Social Learning Theory. (1978)Culture and the Self: Implications for Cognition, Emotion, and Motivation (1991)The Emerging Field of Emotion Regulation: An Integrative Review (1998)Subjective well-being: Three decades of progress. (1999)Optimism, coping, and health: Assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. (1985)Hopelessness depression: A theory-based subtype of depression. (1989)The impact of sleep deprivation on decision making: A review. (2000)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. (2002)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1988Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health.7,808 cited
  • 2003A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality.5,537 cited
  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 1975Self-serving biases in the attribution of causality: Fact or fiction?2,563 cited
  • 1992The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence1,842 cited
  • 1999The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework1,547 cited
  • 1996On the reality of cognitive illusions.1,466 cited
  • 1999The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework \n1,428 cited
  • 1987Unrealistic optimism about susceptibility to health problems: Conclusions from a community-wide sample1,297 cited
  • 2004Is There a Universal Positivity Bias in Attributions? A Meta-Analytic Review of Individual, Developmental, and Cultural Differences in the Self-Serving Attributional Bias.1,270 cited
  • 1994Positive illusions and well-being revisited: Separating fact from fiction.

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1,204 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 1996On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky.1,070 cited
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    • 2021A joint strategy based on ordering and insurance for mitigating the effects of supply chain disruption on risk-averse firms19 cited
    • 2012Peer‐comparison overconfidence: Does it measure bias in self‐evaluation?5 cited