A Time-Series, Multinational Analysis of Democratic Forecasts and Internet Diffusion

Jacob Groshek

33 citations0/0 files storedInternational journal of communication

No readable copy stored yet — this record is metadata only.

No open-access location is known for this record yet.

Literature note Cite in a project Citation map

Social Media and Politics Political Theory and Democracy Media Influence and Politics

Abstract

This study examines the democratic effects that the Internet has shown using macro-level, cross-national data in a sequence of time–series statistical tests. The democratic potential of the Internet may be inestimable, but its national level democratic effects were startlingly limited through 2003. Forecasting models generated in this study demonstrate that the actual democracy level of nearly every country in this study was not greater than its corresponding statistically-predicted democracy level for the years 1994–2003. These results are consistent even in countries where the Internet was more widely diffused, which suggests that Internet diffusion was not a specific causal mechanism of national-level democratic growth during the timeframe analyzed. Thus, based on the results of the 72 countries reported here, the diffusion of the Internet should not be considered a democratic panacea, but rather a component of contemporary democratization processes.

Paper brief

Loading…

Cite this work

Citation unavailable for this work.

BibTeX RIS CSL-JSON

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Citations in this library

Citation map →

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 33 citations exist upstream.

References

2019Diffusion of Innovations 1 1992The third wave: democratization in the late twentieth century 1999The Information Age: Economy, Society and Culture 2017From Mobilization to Revolution 2002Digital divide: civic engagement, information poverty, and the Internet worldwide 2001Social Implications of the Internet 2002The Internet Galaxy: Reflections on the Internet, Business, and Society 2004Free culture: how big media uses technology and the law to lock down culture and control creativity

Cited by

2012Forecasting and observing: A cross-methodological consideration of Internet and mobile phone diffusion in the Egyptian revolt 2011Digital Access, Political Networks and the Diffusion of Democracy 2017Interaction Between the Internet and the Political Regime: An Empirical Study (1995–2015)2016Which Countries Does the World Talk About? An Examination of Factors That Shape Country Presence on Twitter 2015Education, technology and connectedness: Global societal trends to 2030: Thematic report 2

Explore the map →

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.

Imported from OpenAlex (CC0) — nothing here is generated.