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What Do We Know (And Not Know) About Potential Output? · Study

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ArticleWhat Do We Know (And Not Know) About Potential Output?

Susanto Basu2009

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Articlegold2009

What Do We Know (And Not Know) About Potential Output?

Susanto Basu · John G. Fernald

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic Theory and Policy Economic Growth and Productivity

Abstract

Potential output is an important concept in economics. Policymakers often use a one-sector neoclassical model to think about long-run growth, and they often assume that potential output is a smooth series in the short run—approximated by a medium- or long-run estimate.

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References

1956A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth 1977Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans 1983Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework 1976Econometric policy evaluation: A critique 2009The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks 1928A Mathematical Theory of Saving 2005INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY 2007Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach

Cited by

2014Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession 2012Productivity and Potential Output before, during, and after the Great Recession 2013Aggregate Supply in the United States: Recent Developments and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy 2011Revisiting the empirical existence of the Phillips curve for India 2013Growth Beyond Imbalances. Sustainable Growth Rates and Output Gap Reassessment 2015Potential Output and Recessions: Are We Fooling Ourselves?

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2009What Do We Know and Not Know about Potential Output?article · 38 shared references 2014Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recessionreport · 17 shared references 2016Neoclassical Models in Macroeconomicschapter · 12 shared references 2013Volatility and welfarearticle · 11 shared references 2005The Effects of Technical Change on Labor Market Inequalitieschapter · 10 shared references 2012Productivity and Potential Output before, during, and after the Great Recessionarticle · 10 shared references

Details

Year2009

Typearticle

Published2009-01-01

Languageen

Citations52

Files0 public / 0

ShelfMonetary Policy and Economic Impact

Identifiers

doi10.20955/r.91.187-214

openalex_workW2102406099

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2010Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy

2015The zero lower bound, the dual mandate, and unconventional dynamics