Two-Stage Sensitivity-Based Group Screening in Computer Experiments

Abstract

Sophisticated computer codes that implement mathematical models of physical processes can involve large numbers of inputs, and screening to determine the most active inputs is critical for understanding the input-output relationship. This article presents a new two-stage group screening methodology for identifying active inputs. In Stage 1, groups of inputs showing low activity are screened out; in Stage 2, individual inputs from the active groups are identified. Inputs are evaluated through their estimated total (effect) sensitivity indices (TSIs), which are compared with a benchmark null TSI distribution created from added low noise inputs. Examples show that, compared with other procedures, the proposed method provides more consistent and accurate results for high-dimensional screening. Additional details and computer code are provided in supplementary materials available online.

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