Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth

Pär Österholm

24 citations0/0 files storedApplied Economics Letters

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Forecasting Techniques and Applications Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Unemployment and Economic Growth

Abstract

In this article, we evaluate forecasting models for Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden’s most important business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey. Employing nine years of quarterly real-time data, we conduct an out-of-sample forecast exercise. Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of survey data for GDP forecasters.

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2019American Economic Review 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy 1995Comparing Predictive Accuracy 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists 2004Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending 1994Does Consumer Sentiment Forecast Household Spending? If So, Why?

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