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When Is Difficult Planning Good Planning? The Effects of Scenario‐Based Planning on Optimistic Prediction Bias
13 references·7 citing·48 second hop
When Is Difficult Planning Good Planning? The Effects of Scenario‐Based Planning on Optimistic Prediction Bias (2012)When Is Difficult Planning Good Planning?…Planning for the near and distant future: How does temporal distance affect task completion predictions? (2010)Planning for the near and dis…Counteracting obstacles with optimistic predictions. (2010)Counteracting obstacles with …Finishing on time: When do predictions influence completion times? (2009)Finishing on time: When do pr…Will I Spend More in 12 Months or a Year? The Effect of Ease of Estimation and Confidence on Budget Estimates (2008)Will I Spend More in 12 Month…Allocating time to future tasks: The effect of task segmentation on planning fallacy bias (2008)Allocating time to future tas…Underestimating the Duration of Future Events: Memory Incorrectly Used or Memory Bias? (2005)Underestimating the Duration …Collaborative planning and prediction: Does group discussion affect optimistic biases in time estimation? (2005)Collaborative planning and pr…Metacognitive Experiences in Consumer Judgment and Decision Making (2004)Metacognitive Experiences in …Meta-Cognitive Experiences in Consumer Judgment and Decision Making (2004)Meta-Cognitive Experiences in…If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy (2003)If you don't want to be late,…Hard Decisions, Bad Decisions: On Decision Quality and Decision Aiding (2003)Hard Decisions, Bad Decisions…Activating a mental simulation mind-set through generation of alternatives: Implications for debiasing in related and unrelated domains (2003)Activating a mental simulatio…Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures (1982)Intuitive prediction: Biases …Oops!… I waited until the last minute again: The role of fresh start nudges in task completion (2024)Oops!… I waited until the las…Unpacking, summing and anchoring in retrospective time estimation (2018)Unpacking, summing and anchor…The Psychological Aspects of Corporate Foresight (2018)The Psychological Aspects of …The Effects and Mechanism of Task Characters on the Estimation of Task Duration in the Future (2015)The Effects and Mechanism of …The Effects and Mechanism of Task Characters on the Estimation of Task Duration in the Future (2015)The Effects and Mechanism of …Backward Planning: Examining Consequences of Planning Direction for Time Prediction (2015)Backward Planning: Examining …Unpacking a time interval lengthens its perceived temporal distance (2014)Unpacking a time interval len…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 2004Metacognitive Experiences in Consumer Judgment and Decision Making1,346 cited
  • 1982Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures1,152 cited
  • 2003If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy191 cited
  • 2005Underestimating the Duration of Future Events: Memory Incorrectly Used or Memory Bias?150 cited
  • 2003Hard Decisions, Bad Decisions: On Decision Quality and Decision Aiding126 cited
  • 2008Will I Spend More in 12 Months or a Year? The Effect of Ease of Estimation and Confidence on Budget Estimates116 cited
  • 2004Meta-Cognitive Experiences in Consumer Judgment and Decision Making112 cited
  • 2003Activating a mental simulation mind-set through generation of alternatives: Implications for debiasing in related and unrelated domains110 cited
  • 2010Counteracting obstacles with optimistic predictions.92 cited
  • 2005Collaborative planning and prediction: Does group discussion affect optimistic biases in time estimation?73 cited
  • 2008Allocating time to future tasks: The effect of task segmentation on planning fallacy bias50 cited
  • 2010Planning for the near and distant future: How does temporal distance affect task completion predictions?48 cited
  • 2009Finishing on time: When do predictions influence completion times?47 cited

Cited by

  • 2018

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The Psychological Aspects of Corporate Foresight
13 cited
  • 2014Unpacking a time interval lengthens its perceived temporal distance7 cited
  • 2024Oops!… I waited until the last minute again: The role of fresh start nudges in task completion4 cited
  • 2018Unpacking, summing and anchoring in retrospective time estimation4 cited
  • 2015Backward Planning: Examining Consequences of Planning Direction for Time Prediction0 cited
  • 2015The Effects and Mechanism of Task Characters on the Estimation of Task Duration in the Future0 cited
  • 2015The Effects and Mechanism of Task Characters on the Estimation of Task Duration in the Future0 cited