Fiscal Multipliers for India

Abstract

This article attempts to present a framework for the estimation of fiscal multipliers for the Indian economy in the structural macroeconomic modelling tradition. Empirical estimates of short-run multipliers are obtained by giving shocks to a range of fiscal instruments—expenditures and taxes. As per our estimates, the values of the capital expenditure multiplier, transfer payments multiplier and other revenue expenditure multiplier are 2.45, 0.98 and 0.99, respectively, while the tax multipliers are around −1. Expenditure multipliers were also obtained in the presence of fiscal consolidation targets. These estimates again point to the strong multiplier effect of capital expenditure on output, and underscore the need to prioritise capital expenditure. JEL Classification: H50, C54

Cite this work

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 61 citations exist upstream.

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.