Is Technical Analysis Profitable forIndividual Currency Traders?

Boris Abbey · John A. Doukas

38 citations0/0 files storedThe Journal of Portfolio Management

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling Stock Market Forecasting Methods

Abstract

In this article, the authors examine whether technical currency trading by individual currency traders is profitable. The results show technical analysis is negatively associated with performance. Furthermore, the technical trading model developed adequately describes the cross-section of returns for individual currency traders. This result arises because individual currency traders use well-known technical indicators to trade currencies, which implies that such currency traders suffer from reduced performance. TOPICS: Portfolio construction , interest-rate and currency swaps , technical analysis

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2000Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors 1999Do Investors Trade Too Much?2007WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE PROFITABILITY OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS?1993The significance of technical trading-rule profits in the foreign exchange market: a bootstrap approach 1986Beating the Foreign Exchange Market 2008Do Professional Currency Managers Beat the Benchmark?2010European Financial Management, forthcoming

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2020The profitability of Bollinger Bands: Evidence from the constituent stocks of Taiwan 50 2021Improving MACD Technical Analysis by Optimizing Parameters and Modifying Trading Rules: Evidence from the Japanese Nikkei 225 Futures Market 2014Do Individual Currency Traders Make Money?

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