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Judgments of proportions.
15 references·16 citing·40 second hop
Judgments of proportions. (1990)Judgments of proportions.Social Attitudes and Psychophysical Measurement (2013)Social Attitudes and Psychoph…Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms. (1986)Measuring the vague meanings …Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities (1983)Verbal Vs. Numerical Processi…Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility. (1983)Bayesian inference: Combining…Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Subjectively weighted utility: A descriptive extension of the expected utility model (1978)Subjectively weighted utility…Judged frequency of lethal events. (1978)Judged frequency of lethal ev…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Component processes in risky decision making. (1974)Component processes in risky …The Relativism of Absolute Judgments (1968)The Relativism of Absolute Ju…Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Man as an intuitive statistic…Ratio scales and category scales for a dozen perceptual continua. (1957)Ratio scales and category sca…Psychological probability as a function of experienced frequency. (1953)Psychological probability as …The autocorrelated Bayesian sampler: A rational process for probability judgments, estimates, confidence intervals, choices, confidence judgments, and response times. (2023)The autocorrelated Bayesian s…Judgment errors in naturalistic numerical estimation (2021)Judgment errors in naturalist…The bounded rationality of probability distortion (2020)The bounded rationality of pr…Intuitive symbolic magnitude judgments and decision making under risk in adults (2020)Intuitive symbolic magnitude …Individual Differences in the Perception of Probability (2019)Individual Differences in the…Bias and ignorance in demographic perception (2017)Bias and ignorance in demogra…Decision Under Risk (2015)Decision Under RiskSuboptimal decision criteria are predicted by subjectively weighted probabilities and rewards (2014)Suboptimal decision criteria …The Measurement of Subjective Probability: Evaluating the Sensitivity and Accuracy of Various Scales (2013)The Measurement of Subjective…Success-slope effects on the illusion of control and on remembered success-frequency (2013)Success-slope effects on the …Between ignorance and truth: Partition dependence and learning in judgment under uncertainty. (2006)Between ignorance and truth: …What very small numbers mean. (2002)What very small numbers mean.The Visual Communication of Risk (1999)The Visual Communication of R…Evidence against Rank-Dependent Utility Theories: Tests of Cumulative Independence, Interval Independence, Stochastic Dominance, and Transitivity (1999)Evidence against Rank-Depende…Understanding variability in binary and continuous choice (1998)Understanding variability in …Theories of Bias in Probability Judgment (1990)Theories of Bias in Probabili…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The theory of decision making. (1954)Applied Statistical Decision Theory (1962)Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)The processes of causal attribution. (1973)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)On the Theory of Scales of Measurement (1946)The social readjustment rating scale (1967)The Theory of Ratio Scale Estimation: Saaty's Analytic Hierarchy Process (1987)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Theory and Methods of Scaling (1958)A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures (1977)The Analytic Hierarchy Process (1985)Risk Perception and Communication (1993)Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921)Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk (1980)Unrealistic optimism about susceptibility to health problems (1982)Answering Autobiographical Questions: The Impact of Memory and Inference on Surveys (1987)Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)The Psychology of Attitudes (1997)Defining Moments in Risk Communication Research: 1996–2005 (2006)Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature (2008)Reducing gain–loss asymmetry: A virtual reality choice experiment valuing land use change (2009)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)A model of investor sentiment /A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)Methodology for measuring health-state preferences—II: Scaling methods (1989)Job Mobility and Social Ties: Social Resources, Prior Job, and Status Attainment (1991)Understanding subjective well-being: perspectives from psychology and public health (2020)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1978Judged frequency of lethal events.1,550 cited
  • 1957Ratio scales and category scales for a dozen perceptual continua.1,051 cited
  • 1982Conservatism in human information processing1,004 cited
  • 1967Man as an intuitive statistician.966 cited
  • 1986Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms.522 cited
  • 2013Social Attitudes and Psychophysical Measurement388 cited
  • 1978Subjectively weighted utility: A descriptive extension of the expected utility model350 cited
  • 1968The Relativism of Absolute Judgments342 cited
  • 1983Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility.253 cited
  • 1953Psychological probability as a function of experienced frequency.197 cited
  • 1983Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities131 cited
  • 1974Component processes in risky decision making.105 cited

Cited by

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1999
The Visual Communication of Risk
534 cited
  • 2006Between ignorance and truth: Partition dependence and learning in judgment under uncertainty.93 cited
  • 1999Evidence against Rank-Dependent Utility Theories: Tests of Cumulative Independence, Interval Independence, Stochastic Dominance, and Transitivity81 cited
  • 2017Bias and ignorance in demographic perception68 cited
  • 1998Understanding variability in binary and continuous choice64 cited
  • 2020The bounded rationality of probability distortion48 cited
  • 2002What very small numbers mean.40 cited
  • 2014Suboptimal decision criteria are predicted by subjectively weighted probabilities and rewards38 cited
  • 1990Theories of Bias in Probability Judgment33 cited
  • 2015Decision Under Risk30 cited
  • 2013The Measurement of Subjective Probability: Evaluating the Sensitivity and Accuracy of Various Scales23 cited
  • 2023The autocorrelated Bayesian sampler: A rational process for probability judgments, estimates, confidence intervals, choices, confidence judgments, and response times.22 cited
  • 2020Intuitive symbolic magnitude judgments and decision making under risk in adults14 cited
  • 2019Individual Differences in the Perception of Probability14 cited
  • 2021Judgment errors in naturalistic numerical estimation12 cited
  • 2013Success-slope effects on the illusion of control and on remembered success-frequency12 cited