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Understanding models’ forecasting performance
16 references·1 citing·35 second hop
Understanding models’ forecasting performance (2011)Understanding models’ forecasting perform…Forecast comparisons in unstable environments (2010)Forecast comparisons in unsta…Economic Forecasting (2008)Economic ForecastingExchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think (2007)Exchange Rate Models Are Not …Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Tests of Conditional Predicti…Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models (2006)Approximately normal tests fo…Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis (2005)Using out-of-sample mean squa…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability (1998)Regression-Based Tests of Pre…Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Asymptotic Inference about Pr…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Comparing Predictive AccuracyComparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyTests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Tests for Parameter Instabili…Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Heteroskedasticity and Autoco…Some Invariance Principles and Central Limit Theorems for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes (1988)Some Invariance Principles an…Exchange rates and international macroeconomics (1984)Exchange rates and internatio…Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies (1983)Empirical exchange rate model…Robust estimation of the range-based GARCH model: Forecasting volatility, value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies (2024)Robust estimation of the rang…Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics (1976)Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle (1996)Monetary Theory and Policy (1999)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange (2003)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size (2012)Forecasting Inflation (2013)Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight (2019)Time Series Regression with a Unit Root (1987)Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1994)Emerging equity market volatility (1997)Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)A Test for Superior Predictive Ability (2005)Large Bayesian vector auto regressions (2009)Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Inference About the Change-Point in a Sequence of Random Variables (1970)Testing for the Constancy of Parameters Over Time (1989)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (1992)What is an Oil Shock? (2000)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (2002)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management (1998)A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? (2005)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns (2014)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions (2017)
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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1995Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,214 cited
  • 1993Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point4,325 cited
  • 1983Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies4,115 cited
  • 1991Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation4,039 cited
  • 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models2,513 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 1996Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability1,415 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 2010Forecast comparisons in unstable environments468 cited
  • 2007Exchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think431 cited
  • 2005Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis410 cited
  • 1984Exchange rates and international macroeconomics370 cited
  • 1998Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability286 cited
  • 1988Some Invariance Principles and Central Limit Theorems for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes254 cited

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2008
Economic Forecasting
254 cited

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  • 2024Robust estimation of the range-based GARCH model: Forecasting volatility, value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies24 cited