Article2003

THE CONDITIONAL CAPM AND CROSS-SECTIONAL EVIDENCE OF RETURN AND BETA FOR ISLAMIC UNIT TRUSTS IN MALAYSIA

Abd. Ghafar Ismaila · Mohd. Saharudin Shakranib

50 citations0/0 files storedIIUM Journal Of Economics and Management/International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Islamic Finance and Banking Studies Financial Analysis and Corporate Governance

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between return and beta for Islamic unit trusts using the cross-sectional regression analysis. The estimation of return and beta without differentiating between positive and negative excess market returns produces a flat unconditional relationship between return and beta. Using the conditional CAPM and cross-sectional regression analysis, the evidence in this paper tends to support a significant positive relationship in an up-market and a significant negative relationship in a down-market. This paper suggests that beta could be used as a tool in explaining cross-sectional differences in Islamic unit trusts’ returns and as a measure of market risk. Based on the adjusted-R2 and standard error of the conditional relationship between returns we find that beta is higher in a down-market than in an up-market. Therefore, both statistics are appropriate measurements of conditional relationships. JEL classification: G1, C2Key words: Asset pricing; Cross-sectional models; Islamic unit trusts

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References

1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*1992The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns 1973Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests 1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]1981The relationship between return and market value of common stocks 1966Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market 1972The capital asset pricing model: Some empirical tests 1996The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

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