Work2007

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

128 citations0/0 files storedPerspectives on Politics

No readable copy stored yet — this record is metadata only.

No open-access location is known for this record yet.

Literature note Cite in a project Citation map

Forecasting Techniques and Applications Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Political Science Research and Education

Abstract

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? By Philip E. Tetlock. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2005. 352p. $45.00 cloth, $19.95 paper. This is a wonderful and important book. Philip Tetlock is a political psychologist who has a knack for innovative research projects (e.g., his earlier work on how people cope with trade-offs in politics). In this book, he addresses a question that would scare away more timid souls: How well do experts predict political and economic events?

Paper brief

Loading…

Cite this work

Citation unavailable for this work.

BibTeX RIS CSL-JSON

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Citations in this library

Citation map →

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 128 citations exist upstream.

Cited by

2020Who is an expert for foresight? A review of identification methods 2014Online foresight platforms: Evidence for their impact on scenario planning & strategic foresight 2015The anatomy of government failure 2021A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods 2015Natural epistemic defects and corrective virtues 2021The ‘Epistemic Critique’ of Epistocracy and Its Inadequacy 2016What Motivates Effort? Evidence and Expert Forecasts 2016Behavioral Issues in the Practical Application of Scenario Thinking: Cognitive Biases, Effective Group Facilitation and Overcoming Business-as-Usual Thinking

Imported from OpenAlex (CC0) — nothing here is generated.