Article2013

Assessment and forecast of the technological risks of long-term economic growth in Russia

3 citations0/0 files storedStudies on Russian Economic Development

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Economic and Technological Developments in Russia Economic and Industrial Development Economic Development and Digital Transformation

Abstract

The article discusses the current state of production facilities and infrastructure and provides a detailed assessment of their development and depreciation. It is emphasized that it is appropriate to consider the underfunding of this area of the economy, including the subsequent high accident rate and the increase in technological risks, as a set of socioeconomic (investment) debts. An assessment of these debts is given. The trends of technological risks of the economic growth and options for an investment maneuver to address the accumulated socioeconomic debts and reduce economic risks are considered in the context of two basic scenarios of economic development for the period 2011–2030.

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References

2002A Question of Trust 2012Macroeconomic dynamics of the Russian economy in the long term 2012Concept of the constructive forecast of the long-term economic growth in Russia

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2014Economic Analysis оf the Structure оf Russian Mechanical Engineering: Theory аnd Practice Issues 2023Choosing a Goal and Benchmarks in an Industry Forecast on the Example of Metallurgy

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