Econometric Analysis of Exports and Economic Growth in Nigeria

Olabanji Olukayode Ewetan

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Global trade and economics Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic and Technological Innovation

Abstract

There is no consensus in the empirical literature on the causal links between exports and economic growth. This paper therefore examines the applicability of the Export-Led Growth hypothesis for Nigeria using annual secondary time series data from 1970-2010. The estimation results obtained from the cointegration test and granger causality test within the framework of a VAR model did not support the Export-Led Growth hypothesis for Nigeria. The paper concludes that government must diversify the productive base of the economy, promote non-oil exports, and build up an efficient service infrastructure to drive private domestic and foreign investment

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References

1988Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors 1990MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 1988Some recent development in a concept of causality 1991Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth 1992Openness, Trade Liberalization and Growth In Developing Countries 1996Openness and growth: A time-series, cross-country analysis for developing countries 2000Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 1 1992Is the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?

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2017Econometric Analysis of Exchange Rate and Export Performance in a Developing Economy

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