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Hindsight bias: How knowledge and heuristics affect our reconstruction of the past
16 references·16 citing·37 second hopsampled
Hindsight bias: How knowledge and heuristics affect our reconstruction of the past (2003)Hindsight bias: How knowledge and heurist…Choices, Values, and Frames (2013)Choices, Values, and FramesSimple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)Simple Heuristics That Make U…Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. (1996)Reasoning the fast and frugal…Long-term working memory. (1995)Long-term working memory.Competence in experts: The role of task characteristics (1992)Competence in experts: The ro…Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…Choices, values, and frames. (1984)Choices, values, and frames.Debiasing (1982)DebiasingCategorization and Representation of Physics Problems by Experts and Novices* (1981)Categorization and Representa…Expert and Novice Performance in Solving Physics Problems (1980)Expert and Novice Performance…The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. (1979)The robust beauty of improper…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Perception in chess (1973)Perception in chessThought and Choice in Chess (1966)Thought and Choice in ChessThe Conceptual Framework of Psychology (1954)The Conceptual Framework of P…Behavioral economics in information systems research: Critical analysis and research strategies (2021)Behavioral economics in infor…Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport (2020)Waste Reduction Strategies: F…Integrating and testing natural frequencies, naïve Bayes, and fast-and-frugal trees. (2017)Integrating and testing natur…Individual differences in cognitive biases: Evidence against one-factor theory of rationality (2015)Individual differences in cog…Effective preservation decision strategies (2015)Effective preservation decisi…An integrative lens model approach to bias and accuracy in human inferences: Hindsight effects and knowledge updating in personality judgments. (2012)An integrative lens model app…Evolution of the interpersonal conflict paradigm (2008)Evolution of the interpersona…Different cognitive processes underlie human mate choices and mate preferences (2007)Different cognitive processes…Did Everybody Know It All Along? A Review of Individual Differences in Hindsight Bias (2007)Did Everybody Know It All Alo…Cognitive Process Models of Hindsight Bias (2007)Cognitive Process Models of H…Inflation of conditional predictions. (2006)Inflation of conditional pred…Models of Bounded Rationality: The Approach of Fast and Frugal Heuristics (2004)Models of Bounded Rationality…Research on hindsight bias: A rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future (2003)Research on hindsight bias: A…Personality differences in hindsight bias (2003)Personality differences in hi…Hindsight Bias in Gustatory Judgments (2003)Hindsight Bias in Gustatory J…"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability (2003)"I couldn't have seen it comi…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Individual differences in working memory and reading (1980)The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. (1993)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Exploring the Central Executive (1996)Models of Working Memory: Mechanisms of Active Maintenance and Executive Control (1999)Cognitive Architecture and Instructional Design: 20 Years Later (2019)Misconceptions Reconceived: A Constructivist Analysis of Knowledge in Transition (1994)Quantifying Qualitative Analyses of Verbal Data: A Practical Guide (1997)Problem-Based Learning: What and How Do Students Learn? (2004)Cognitive Processes in Comprehension (2013)Theoretical Issues in Reading Comprehension (2017)Representation and Understanding (1975)Education and Learning to Think (1987)Historical problem solving: A study of the cognitive processes used in the evaluation of documentary and pictorial evidence. (1991)Toward an epistemology of physics (1993)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Framing: Toward Clarification of a Fractured Paradigm (1993)Subjective well-being: Three decades of progress. (1999)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)Cognitive Load During Problem Solving: Effects on Learning (1988)Technological Pedagogical Content Knowledge: A Framework for Teacher Knowledge (2006)Why Minimal Guidance During Instruction Does Not Work: An Analysis of the Failure of Constructivist, Discovery, Problem-Based, Experiential, and Inquiry-Based Teaching (2006)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)Human Problem Solving (1972)Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)Measurement Instruments for the Anthropomorphism, Animacy, Likeability, Perceived Intelligence, and Perceived Safety of Robots (2008)Heuristic Decision Making (2010)The expression of the emotions in man and animals. (1872)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)
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References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1984Choices, values, and frames.6,505 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 2013Choices, Values, and Frames5,320 cited
  • 1981Categorization and Representation of Physics Problems by Experts and Novices*5,238 cited
  • 1973Perception in chess4,482 cited
  • 1999Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart3,562 cited
  • 1996Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.3,503 cited
  • 1995Long-term working memory.3,496 cited
  • 1980Expert and Novice Performance in Solving Physics Problems2,110 cited
  • 1979The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.1,969 cited
  • 1966Thought and Choice in Chess1,284 cited
  • 1954The Conceptual Framework of Psychology1,042 cited
  • 1992Competence in experts: The role of task characteristics865 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 1982Debiasing506 cited

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Cited by

  • 2007Different cognitive processes underlie human mate choices and mate preferences335 cited
  • 2012An integrative lens model approach to bias and accuracy in human inferences: Hindsight effects and knowledge updating in personality judgments.92 cited
  • 2020Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport79 cited
  • 2015Individual differences in cognitive biases: Evidence against one-factor theory of rationality77 cited
  • 2007Cognitive Process Models of Hindsight Bias68 cited
  • 2003Research on hindsight bias: A rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future56 cited
  • 2004Models of Bounded Rationality: The Approach of Fast and Frugal Heuristics52 cited
  • 2007Did Everybody Know It All Along? A Review of Individual Differences in Hindsight Bias46 cited
  • 2008Evolution of the interpersonal conflict paradigm45 cited
  • 2003Personality differences in hindsight bias41 cited
  • 2003"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability40 cited
  • 2021Behavioral economics in information systems research: Critical analysis and research strategies31 cited
  • 2017Integrating and testing natural frequencies, naïve Bayes, and fast-and-frugal trees.28 cited
  • 2003Hindsight Bias in Gustatory Judgments28 cited
  • 2006Inflation of conditional predictions.26 cited
  • 2015Effective preservation decision strategies20 cited