Article1973

KSIM: A methodology for interactive resource policy simulation

Julius Kane · Ilan B. Vertinsky · WILLIAM J. THOMSON

39 citations0/0 files storedWater Resources Research

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Complex Systems and Decision Making Water resources management and optimization Environmental Science and Water Management

Abstract

A new mathematical language (KSIM) has been developed and designed for interactive team use. Many features of KSIM make it particularly appropriate for use in formulating environmental policy. (1) It is easily grasped by the nonmathematical specialist and can communicate the workings of complex, nonlinear feedback systems to such people. (2) It allows for ready entry of such ‘soft’ subjective variables as environmental quality and national sovereignty. (3) It emphasizes the significance of structural relations rather than numerical prediction. (4) It is flexible and easily generalized. As an illustration of its use, we show how KSIM can facilitate discussion of the multiple impacts of possible Canadian water sales to the United States.

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1963An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts 2014General Systems Theory

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