On the Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates for India

Paresh Kumar Narayan

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Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Market Dynamics and Volatility

Abstract

In this paper, we apply several variants of the EGARCH model to examine the role of depreciation of the Indian rupee on India's stock market returns using daily data. Our findings suggest that volatility persistence has been high; depreciation of the rupee has increased volatility; and asymmetric volatility confirms that negative shocks generate more volatility than positive shocks. We also find that an appreciation of the Indian rupee over the 2002 to 2006 has generated more returns and less volatility.

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References

1979Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root 1986Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity 1982Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation 1988Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression 1981Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root 1992Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root 1991Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach 2017Economic and Political Weekly

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